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Banik Ostrava B vs Jihlava Prediction— Czech-Republic - FNL

Regular Season - 25 ·Sunday, April 26, 2026, 12:30

Banik Ostrava B

PPG 1.73 · HOME

2 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Jihlava

PPG 0.75 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 52.6% vs bookmaker-implied 59.9%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.2%0-15.5%0-22.4%0-30.7%0-4+0.2%1 1-011.8%1-110.4%1-24.6%1-31.3%1-4+0.4%2 2-011.2%2-19.9%2-24.3%2-31.3%2-4+0.3%3 3-07.1%3-16.2%3-22.7%3-30.8%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-05.2%4+-14.6%4+-22.0%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 49.7% 50.0% 2.00 -0.6%

Draw 28.5% 30.8% 3.25 -7.4%

Away win 21.8% 29.0% 3.45 -24.8%

Over 2.5 51.6% 54.1% 1.85 -4.5%

Over 3.5 30.3% 32.3% 3.10 -6.1%

BTTS 52.6% 59.9% 1.67 -12.2%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 56 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 57%

BTTS 55%

Score Hit 50%

ROI 10.4%

Bet Hit 68%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 32%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)1.9 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob52.6%

H 50% / xG 1.9-0.9 / O2.5 52% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.4%

#2 2–0 11.2%

#3 1–0 11.8%

#4 2–1✓ 9.9%

#5 0–0 6.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Banik Ostrava B1.9

Jihlava0.9

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 51.6% · O3.5 PROB 30.3%

Form & verdict PPG

BANIK OSTRAVA B · PPG 1.73

JIHLAVA · PPG 0.75

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.73) vs P(Home)=49.7%

Win probability 1X2

Banik Ostrava B (H) 49.7%

ODDS 2.00 · IMPLIED 50.0% EV -0.6%

Draw 28.5%

ODDS 3.25 · IMPLIED 30.8% EV -7.4%

Jihlava (A) 21.8%

ODDS 3.45 · IMPLIED 29.0% EV -24.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Banik Ostrava B face Jihlava in Czech-Republic - FNL on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Banik Ostrava B a 50% chance, the draw 28% and Jihlava 22%, so Banik Ostrava B are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Banik Ostrava B and 0.9 for Jihlava (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Banik Ostrava B are averaging 1.73 points per game versus 0.75 for Jihlava. This match finished 2-1.

Banik Ostrava B vs Jihlava Prediction— Czech-Republic - FNL

Match Preview & Prediction

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