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Slavia Prague B vs Zbrojovka Brno Prediction— Czech-Republic - FNL

Regular Season - 25 ·Sunday, April 26, 2026, 08:15

Slavia Prague B

PPG 1.45 · HOME

0 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

Zbrojovka Brno

PPG 2.58 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.2 puts the goal expectation above the line. Model probability 59.0% vs bookmaker-implied 56.5% — a real, if thin, edge.

+4.4% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.2%0-18.5%0-28.6%0-35.8%0-4+4.7%1 1-04.8%1-19.7%1-29.9%1-36.7%1-4+5.4%2 2-02.7%2-15.6%2-25.6%2-33.8%2-4+3.1%3 3-01.0%3-12.1%3-22.2%3-31.5%3-4+1.2%4+ 4+-00.4%4+-10.8%4+-20.8%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 26.7% 25.6% 3.90 +4.1%

Draw 27.6% 29.9% 3.35 -7.5%

Away win 45.7% 54.6% 1.83 -16.4%

Over 2.5 59.0% 56.5% 1.77 +4.4%

Over 3.5 39.3% 34.7% 2.88 +13.2%

BTTS 58.5% 60.6% 1.65 -3.5%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 56 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 57%

BTTS 55%

Score Hit 50%

ROI 10.4%

Bet Hit 68%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 37%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-1

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)2.0 BTTS prob58.5%

A 46% / xG 1.1-2.0 / O2.5 59% / BTTS 58%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.7%

#2 1–2 9.9%

#3 0–2 8.6%

#4 0–1✓ 8.5%

#5 1–3 6.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Slavia Prague B1.1

Zbrojovka Brno2.0

COMBINED 3.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.0% · O3.5 PROB 39.3%

Form & verdict PPG

SLAVIA PRAGUE B · PPG 1.45

ZBROJOVKA BRNO · PPG 2.58

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.58) vs Home AVERAGE (1.45)

Win probability 1X2

Slavia Prague B (H) 26.7%

ODDS 3.90 · IMPLIED 25.6% EV +4.1%

Draw 27.6%

ODDS 3.35 · IMPLIED 29.9% EV -7.5%

Zbrojovka Brno (A) 45.7%

ODDS 1.83 · IMPLIED 54.6% EV -16.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

Slavia Prague B face Zbrojovka Brno in Czech-Republic - FNL on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Slavia Prague B a 27% chance, the draw 28% and Zbrojovka Brno 46%, so Zbrojovka Brno are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Slavia Prague B and 2.0 for Zbrojovka Brno (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Slavia Prague B are averaging 1.45 points per game versus 2.58 for Zbrojovka Brno. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +13.2%. This match finished 0-1.

Slavia Prague B vs Zbrojovka Brno Prediction— Czech-Republic - FNL

Match Preview & Prediction

More Czech-Republic - FNL Predictions