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Taborsko vs Pribram Prediction— Czech-Republic - FNL

Regular Season - 25 ·Saturday, April 25, 2026, 16:00

Taborsko

PPG 1.75 · HOME

2 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

Pribram

PPG 1.55 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Model probability 60.6% vs bookmaker-implied 55.6% — a real, if thin, edge.

+9.1% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-010.9%0-16.9%0-22.2%0-30.5%0-4+0.1%1 1-017.2%1-110.9%1-23.4%1-30.7%1-4+0.1%2 2-013.7%2-18.7%2-22.7%2-30.6%2-4+0.1%3 3-07.2%3-14.6%3-21.4%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-04.1%4+-12.6%4+-20.8%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 60.6% 55.6% 1.80 +9.1%

Draw 24.8% 29.9% 3.35 -16.9%

Away win 14.6% 24.4% 4.10 -40.1%

Over 2.5 38.3% 54.1% 1.85 -29.1%

Over 3.5 18.5% 32.3% 3.10 -42.6%

BTTS 37.3% 58.8% 1.70 -36.6%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 56 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 57%

BTTS 55%

Score Hit 50%

ROI 10.4%

Bet Hit 68%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 58%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-1

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob37.3%

H 61% / xG 1.6-0.6 / U2.5 38% / NoBTTS 37%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 17.2%

#2 2–0 13.7%

#3 1–1 10.9%

#4 0–0 10.9%

#5 2–1✓ 8.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Taborsko1.6

Pribram0.6

COMBINED 2.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 38.3% · O3.5 PROB 18.5%

Form & verdict PPG

TABORSKO · PPG 1.75

PRIBRAM · PPG 1.55

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.75), Away GOOD (1.55)

Win probability 1X2

Taborsko (H) 60.6%

ODDS 1.80 · IMPLIED 55.6% EV +9.1%

Draw 24.8%

ODDS 3.35 · IMPLIED 29.9% EV -16.9%

Pribram (A) 14.6%

ODDS 4.10 · IMPLIED 24.4% EV -40.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

Taborsko face Pribram in Czech-Republic - FNL on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Taborsko a 61% chance, the draw 25% and Pribram 15%, so Taborsko are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Taborsko and 0.6 for Pribram (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 38% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 37% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Taborsko are averaging 1.75 points per game versus 1.55 for Pribram. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +9.1%. This match finished 2-1.

Taborsko vs Pribram Prediction— Czech-Republic - FNL

Match Preview & Prediction

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