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Artis Brno vs C. Budejovice Prediction— Czech-Republic - FNL

Regular Season - 25 ·Saturday, April 25, 2026, 16:00

Artis Brno logo
Artis Brno
PPG 1.58 · HOME
2 – 1
FULL TIME
✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME
C. Budejovice logo
C. Budejovice
PPG 1.18 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Model probability 67.2% vs bookmaker-implied 69.4%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.0%0-14.6%0-21.8%0-30.5%0-4+0.1%1 1-012.2%1-19.4%1-23.6%1-30.9%1-4+0.2%2 2-012.5%2-19.6%2-23.7%2-31.0%2-4+0.2%3 3-08.6%3-16.6%3-22.5%3-30.7%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-07.0%4+-15.4%4+-22.1%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.1%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 67.2% 69.4% 1.44 -3.2%
Draw 19.8% 24.4% 4.10 -18.8%
Away win 13.0% 15.4% 6.50 -15.5%
Over 2.5 53.5% 57.1% 1.75 -6.4%
Over 3.5 31.2% 35.1% 2.85 -11.1%
BTTS 46.8% 54.1% 1.85 -13.4%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

League track record

Based on 56 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%
O2.5 57%
BTTS 55%
Score Hit 50%
ROI 10.4%
Bet Hit 68%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 0 49%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 2-1
xG (home)2.0 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob46.8%

H 67% / xG 2.0-0.8 / O2.5 54% / NoBTTS 47%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 12.5%
#2 1–0 12.2%
#3 2–1 9.6%
#4 1–1 9.4%
#5 3–0 8.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Artis Brno2.0
C. Budejovice0.8

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.5% · O3.5 PROB 31.2%

Form & verdict PPG

ARTIS BRNO · PPG 1.58

C. BUDEJOVICE · PPG 1.18

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.58) > Away AVERAGE (1.18)

Win probability 1X2

Artis Brno (H) 67.2%
ODDS 1.44 · IMPLIED 69.4% EV -3.2%
Draw 19.8%
ODDS 4.10 · IMPLIED 24.4% EV -18.8%
C. Budejovice (A) 13.0%
ODDS 6.50 · IMPLIED 15.4% EV -15.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Artis Brno face C. Budejovice in Czech-Republic - FNL on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Artis Brno a 67% chance, the draw 20% and C. Budejovice 13%, so Artis Brno are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for Artis Brno and 0.8 for C. Budejovice (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Artis Brno are averaging 1.58 points per game versus 1.18 for C. Budejovice. This match finished 2-1.

PredictVantage

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