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H&H Export vs UNAN Managua Prediction— Nicaragua - Primera Division

Apertura · Matchday 9 ·Sunday, September 6, 2026, 21:00

H&H Export

PPG 1.33 · HOME

UPCOMING

UNAN Managua

PPG 1.28 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS 59% chance

Model probability 52.9% vs bookmaker-implied 61.0%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.8%0-19.9%0-25.6%0-32.1%0-4+0.8%1 1-011.4%1-112.9%1-27.3%1-32.7%1-4+1.0%2 2-07.5%2-18.4%2-24.8%2-31.8%2-4+0.6%3 3-03.3%3-13.7%3-22.1%3-30.8%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-01.4%4+-11.6%4+-20.9%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 38.1% 54.6% 1.83 -30.3%

Draw 25.8% 27.8% 3.60 -4.3%

Away win 36.1% 28.6% 3.50 +26.4%

Over 2.5 50.6% 57.1% 1.75 -11.5%

Over 3.5 30.8% 37.0% 2.70 -16.8%

BTTS 52.9% 61.0% 1.64 -13.2%

Home O1.5 38.4% 56.2% 1.78 -31.6%

Away O1.5 33.2% 35.2% 2.84 -5.7%

League track record ↗

Based on 22 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 55%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 32%

Score Hit 55%

ROI -32.6%

Bet Hit 40%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 18%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob52.9%

H 38% / xG 1.3-1.1 / O2.5 51% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.9%

#2 0–1 9.9%

#3 1–0 11.4%

#4 0–0 8.8%

#5 1–2 7.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

H&H Export1.3

UNAN Managua1.1

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.6% · O3.5 PROB 30.8%

Form & verdict PPG

H&H EXPORT · PPG 1.33

UNAN MANAGUA · PPG 1.28

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected

Chance this pick lands

59%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.18, combined xG 2.44 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

H&H Export (H) 38.1%

ODDS 1.83 · IMPLIED 54.6% EV -30.3%

Draw 25.8%

ODDS 3.60 · IMPLIED 27.8% EV -4.3%

UNAN Managua (A) 36.1%

ODDS 3.50 · IMPLIED 28.6% EV +26.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

H&H Export face UNAN Managua in Nicaragua - Primera Division on Sunday, September 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives H&H Export a 38% chance, the draw 26% and UNAN Managua 36%, so H&H Export are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for H&H Export and 1.1 for UNAN Managua (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, H&H Export are averaging 1.33 points per game versus 1.28 for UNAN Managua.

H&H Export vs UNAN Managua Prediction— Nicaragua - Primera Division

Match Preview & Prediction

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