Today / Turkey - Süper Lig / Trabzonspor vs Gençlerbirliği S.K.

Trabzonspor vs Gençlerbirliği S.K. Prediction— Turkey - Süper Lig

Matchday 4 ·Sunday, September 6, 2026, 17:00

Trabzonspor

PPG 1.99 · HOME

LAST 5

DWL ··

UPCOMING

Gençlerbirliği S.K.

PPG 1.22 · AWAY

LAST 5

WWD ··

// Model verdict

BTTS 56% chance

Model probability 52.9% vs bookmaker-implied 57.8%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.0%0-18.2%0-24.2%0-31.4%0-4+0.5%1 1-012.0%1-112.3%1-26.3%1-32.2%1-4+0.7%2 2-09.0%2-19.2%2-24.7%2-31.6%2-4+0.5%3 3-04.5%3-14.6%3-22.4%3-30.8%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-02.3%4+-12.4%4+-21.2%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 45.0% 63.7% 1.57 -29.3%

Draw 26.0% 26.3% 3.80 -0.7%

Away win 29.1% 20.0% 5.00 +27.3%

Over 2.5 50.6% 57.8% 1.73 -12.5%

Over 3.5 29.4% 36.4% 2.75 -11.5%

BTTS 52.9% 57.8% 1.73 -8.5%

Home O1.5 39.9% 61.7% 1.62 -35.4%

Away O1.5 32.0% 26.7% 3.75 +20.0%

League track record ↗

Based on 55 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 42%

O2.5 67%

BTTS 64%

Score Hit 40%

ROI 20.3%

Bet Hit 67%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 24%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob52.9%

H 45% / xG 1.5-1.0 / O2.5 51% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.3%

#2 1–0 12.0%

#3 2–1 9.2%

#4 2–0 9.0%

#5 0–0 8.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Trabzonspor1.5

Gençlerbirliği S.K.1.0

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.6% · O3.5 PROB 29.4%

Form & verdict PPG

TRABZONSPOR · PPG 1.99

GENÇLERBIRLIĞI S.K. · PPG 1.22

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

Chance this pick lands

56%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.47 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Trabzonspor (H) 45.0%

ODDS 1.57 · IMPLIED 63.7% EV -29.3%

Draw 26.0%

ODDS 3.80 · IMPLIED 26.3% EV -0.7%

Gençlerbirliği S.K. (A) 29.1%

ODDS 5.00 · IMPLIED 20.0% EV +27.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

Trabzonspor face Gençlerbirliği S.K. in Turkey - Süper Lig on Sunday, September 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Trabzonspor a 45% chance, the draw 26% and Gençlerbirliği S.K. 29%, so Trabzonspor are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Trabzonspor and 1.0 for Gençlerbirliği S.K. (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Trabzonspor are averaging 1.99 points per game versus 1.22 for Gençlerbirliği S.K.. The best value bet our model finds is A/O25, with an expected value of +38.3%.

Trabzonspor vs Gençlerbirliği S.K. Prediction— Turkey - Süper Lig

Match Preview & Prediction

More Turkey - Süper Lig Predictions