Today / Turkey - Süper Lig / Çorum FK vs Eyüpspor

Çorum FK vs Eyüpspor Prediction— Turkey - Süper Lig

Matchday 4 ·Sunday, September 6, 2026, 14:00

Çorum FK

PPG 1.25 · HOME

LAST 5

DLL ··

UPCOMING

Eyüpspor

PPG 0.88 · AWAY

LAST 5

LLW ··

// Model verdict

BTTS 54% chance

Model probability 55.0% vs bookmaker-implied 54.1% — a real, if thin, edge.

+1.8% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.2%0-18.3%0-24.8%0-31.8%0-4+0.7%1 1-010.7%1-112.3%1-27.1%1-32.7%1-4+1.0%2 2-07.9%2-19.1%2-25.2%2-32.0%2-4+0.7%3 3-03.9%3-14.5%3-22.6%3-31.0%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-02.0%4+-12.3%4+-21.3%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 44.6% 57.8% 1.73 -22.8%

Draw 24.3% 28.6% 3.50 -9.0%

Away win 31.0% 22.2% 4.50 +39.5%

Over 2.5 53.8% 51.3% 1.95 +4.9%

Over 3.5 31.7% 29.4% 3.40 +7.8%

BTTS 55.0% 54.1% 1.85 +1.8%

Home O1.5 39.9% 55.6% 1.80 -28.2%

Away O1.5 33.2% 26.7% 3.75 +24.5%

League track record ↗

Based on 55 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 42%

O2.5 67%

BTTS 64%

Score Hit 40%

ROI 20.3%

Bet Hit 67%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 31%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob55.0%

H 45% / xG 1.5-1.2 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.3%

#2 2–1 9.1%

#3 1–0 10.7%

#4 2–0 7.9%

#5 1–2 7.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Çorum FK1.5

Eyüpspor1.2

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.8% · O3.5 PROB 31.7%

Form & verdict PPG

ÇORUM FK · PPG 1.25

EYÜPSPOR · PPG 0.88

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

Chance this pick lands

54%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.33 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Çorum FK (H) 44.6%

ODDS 1.73 · IMPLIED 57.8% EV -22.8%

Draw 24.3%

ODDS 3.50 · IMPLIED 28.6% EV -9.0%

Eyüpspor (A) 31.0%

ODDS 4.50 · IMPLIED 22.2% EV +39.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Çorum FK face Eyüpspor in Turkey - Süper Lig on Sunday, September 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Çorum FK a 45% chance, the draw 24% and Eyüpspor 31%, so Çorum FK are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Çorum FK and 1.2 for Eyüpspor (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Çorum FK are averaging 1.25 points per game versus 0.88 for Eyüpspor. The best value bet our model finds is A/O25, with an expected value of +47.1%.

Çorum FK vs Eyüpspor Prediction— Turkey - Süper Lig

Match Preview & Prediction

More Turkey - Süper Lig Predictions