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Baník Ostrava II vs Hanácká Prediction— Czech-Republic - FNL

Matchday 7 ·Sunday, September 6, 2026, 12:30

Baník Ostrava II

PPG 1.15 · HOME

LAST 5

LLWLW

UPCOMING

Hanácká

PPG 0.87 · AWAY

LAST 5

LLLLW

// Model verdict

Home 60% chance

Model probability 65.3% vs bookmaker-implied 57.8% — a clear edge.

+13.0% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.3%0-14.2%0-21.7%0-30.5%0-4+0.1%1 1-011.3%1-19.1%1-23.6%1-31.0%1-4+0.2%2 2-012.1%2-19.7%2-23.9%2-31.0%2-4+0.2%3 3-08.6%3-16.9%3-22.8%3-30.7%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-07.6%4+-16.1%4+-22.4%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 65.3% 57.8% 1.73 +13.0%

Draw 19.4% 28.6% 3.50 -19.3%

Away win 15.3% 25.0% 4.00 -23.3%

Over 2.5 59.7% 60.6% 1.65 -1.5%

Over 3.5 37.1% 40.0% 2.50 -7.2%

BTTS 52.9% 62.5% 1.60 -15.4%

Home O1.5 60.3% 59.9% 1.67 +0.7%

Away O1.5 23.5% 30.8% 3.25 -14.2%

League track record ↗

Based on 77 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 44%

O2.5 52%

BTTS 56%

Score Hit 47%

ROI 1.3%

Bet Hit 60%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 56%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.1 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob52.9%

H 65% / xG 2.1-0.8 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 12.1%

#2 1–0 11.3%

#3 2–1 9.7%

#4 1–1 9.1%

#5 3–0 8.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Baník Ostrava II2.1

Hanácká0.8

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.7% · O3.5 PROB 37.1%

Form & verdict PPG

BANÍK OSTRAVA II · PPG 1.15

HANÁCKÁ · PPG 0.87

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

Chance this pick lands

60%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.33 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Baník Ostrava II (H) 65.3%

ODDS 1.73 · IMPLIED 57.8% EV +13.0%

Draw 19.4%

ODDS 3.50 · IMPLIED 28.6% EV -19.3%

Hanácká (A) 15.3%

ODDS 4.00 · IMPLIED 25.0% EV -23.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

Baník Ostrava II face Hanácká in Czech-Republic - FNL on Sunday, September 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Baník Ostrava II a 65% chance, the draw 19% and Hanácká 15%, so Baník Ostrava II are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.1 for Baník Ostrava II and 0.8 for Hanácká (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Baník Ostrava II are averaging 1.15 points per game versus 0.87 for Hanácká. The best value bet our model finds is RES_H/O15, with an expected value of +13.0%.

Baník Ostrava II vs Hanácká Prediction— Czech-Republic - FNL

Match Preview & Prediction

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