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Admira Praha vs Viktoria Plzeň II Prediction— Czech-Republic - 3. liga - CFL A

Group A · Matchday 5 ·Sunday, September 6, 2026, 08:15

Admira Praha

PPG 1.04 · HOME

LAST 5

LWLL ·

UPCOMING

Viktoria Plzeň II

PPG 1.76 · AWAY

LAST 5

DWWL ·

// Model verdict

Over 2.5 66% chance

Combined xG of 3.6 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 68.4% vs bookmaker-implied 65.4% — a real, if thin, edge.

+4.7% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.6%0-15.6%0-25.9%0-34.2%0-4+3.7%1 1-03.9%1-18.4%1-29.0%1-36.4%1-4+5.6%2 2-03.0%2-16.4%2-26.8%2-34.8%2-4+4.2%3 3-01.5%3-13.2%3-23.4%3-32.4%3-4+2.1%4+ 4+-00.8%4+-11.7%4+-21.8%4+-31.3%4+-4+1.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 29.3% 35.7% 2.80 -10.8%

Draw 21.1% 26.3% 3.80 -11.9%

Away win 49.6% 48.8% 2.05 +1.7%

Over 2.5 68.4% 65.4% 1.53 +4.7%

Over 3.5 45.0% 43.3% 2.31 +4.0%

BTTS 63.5% 69.0% 1.45 -7.9%

Home O1.5 39.9% 46.5% 2.15 -14.2%

Away O1.5 58.6% 56.5% 1.77 +3.7%

League track record ↗

Based on 12 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 33%

O2.5 58%

BTTS 67%

Score Hit 25%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 59%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)2.1 BTTS prob63.5%

A 50% / xG 1.5-2.1 / O2.5 68% / BTTS 64%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–2 9.0%

#2 1–1 8.4%

#3 2–1 6.4%

#4 1–3 6.4%

#5 2–2 6.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Admira Praha1.5

Viktoria Plzeň II2.1

COMBINED 3.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 68.4% · O3.5 PROB 45.0%

Form & verdict PPG

ADMIRA PRAHA · PPG 1.04

VIKTORIA PLZEŇ II · PPG 1.76

⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

Chance this pick lands

66%

DANGER

xG gap -0.63 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

Admira Praha (H) 29.3%

ODDS 2.80 · IMPLIED 35.7% EV -10.8%

Draw 21.1%

ODDS 3.80 · IMPLIED 26.3% EV -11.9%

Viktoria Plzeň II (A) 49.6%

ODDS 2.05 · IMPLIED 48.8% EV +1.7%

Match Preview & Prediction

Admira Praha face Viktoria Plzeň II in Czech-Republic - 3. liga - CFL A on Sunday, September 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Admira Praha a 29% chance, the draw 21% and Viktoria Plzeň II 50%, so Viktoria Plzeň II are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Admira Praha and 2.1 for Viktoria Plzeň II (3.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-2. There is a 68% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Admira Praha are averaging 1.04 points per game versus 1.76 for Viktoria Plzeň II. The best value bet our model finds is TT_AwayO25, with an expected value of +20.6%.

Admira Praha vs Viktoria Plzeň II Prediction— Czech-Republic - 3. liga - CFL A

Match Preview & Prediction

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