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Loko Vltavín vs Aritma Praha Prediction— Czech-Republic - 3. liga - CFL A

Group A · Matchday 3 ·Saturday, August 22, 2026, 08:15

Loko Vltavín

PPG 1.89 · HOME

LAST 5

WDDW ·

2 – 2

FULL TIME

Aritma Praha

PPG 1.15 · AWAY

LAST 5

DDDL ·

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-012.3%0-110.6%0-24.6%0-31.3%0-4+0.3%1 1-015.2%1-113.1%1-25.6%1-31.6%1-4+0.4%2 2-09.3%2-18.1%2-23.5%2-31.0%2-4+0.3%3 3-03.8%3-13.3%3-21.4%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.5%4+-11.3%4+-20.6%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 44.0% 50.0% 2.00 -12.0%

Draw 32.1% 30.8% 3.25 +4.3%

Away win 23.9% 31.3% 3.20 -14.1%

Over 2.5 39.4% 54.1% 1.85 -27.1%

Over 3.5 20.6% 30.5% 3.28 -19.5%

BTTS 47.6% 57.1% 1.75 -16.7%

Home O1.5 33.3% 48.3% 2.07 -31.1%

Away O1.5 22.8% 33.6% 2.98 -19.2%

League track record ↗

Based on 11 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 36%

O2.5 55%

BTTS 64%

Score Hit 27%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 35%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-2

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob47.6%

H 44% / xG 1.2-0.9 / U2.5 39% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.1%

#2 0–0 12.3%

#3 1–0 15.2%

#4 2–0 9.3%

#5 0–1 10.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Loko Vltavín1.2

Aritma Praha0.9

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 39.4% · O3.5 PROB 20.6%

Form & verdict PPG

LOKO VLTAVÍN · PPG 1.89

ARITMA PRAHA · PPG 1.15

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear value

65%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.37, combined xG 2.09 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Loko Vltavín (H) 44.0%

ODDS 2.00 · IMPLIED 50.0% EV -12.0%

Draw 32.1%

ODDS 3.25 · IMPLIED 30.8% EV +4.3%

Aritma Praha (A) 23.9%

ODDS 3.20 · IMPLIED 31.3% EV -14.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

Loko Vltavín face Aritma Praha in Czech-Republic - 3. liga - CFL A on Saturday, August 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Loko Vltavín a 44% chance, the draw 32% and Aritma Praha 24%, so Loko Vltavín are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Loko Vltavín and 0.9 for Aritma Praha (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 39% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Loko Vltavín are averaging 1.89 points per game versus 1.15 for Aritma Praha. This match finished 2-2.

Loko Vltavín vs Aritma Praha Prediction— Czech-Republic - 3. liga - CFL A

Match Preview & Prediction

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