Today / Czech-Republic - 3. liga - CFL A / Slavia III vs Viktoria Plzeň II

Slavia III vs Viktoria Plzeň II Prediction— Czech-Republic - 3. liga - CFL A

Group A · Matchday 3 ·Saturday, August 22, 2026, 08:15

Slavia III

PPG 1.72 · HOME

LAST 5

WDLL ·

1 – 4

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Viktoria Plzeň II

PPG 1.55 · AWAY

LAST 5

DWWL ·

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.2 puts the goal expectation above the line. Model probability 53.9% vs bookmaker-implied 64.5%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.2%0-15.7%0-23.9%0-31.8%0-4+0.8%1 1-07.5%1-110.3%1-27.1%1-33.2%1-4+1.5%2 2-06.8%2-19.3%2-26.4%2-32.9%2-4+1.4%3 3-04.1%3-15.6%3-23.8%3-31.8%3-4+0.8%4+ 4+-02.8%4+-13.8%4+-22.6%4+-31.2%4+-4+0.6%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 46.9% 36.4% 2.75 +29.0%

Draw 24.4% 29.4% 3.40 -10.2%

Away win 28.8% 46.5% 2.15 -22.9%

Over 2.5 53.9% 64.5% 1.55 -16.4%

Over 3.5 36.6% 42.0% 2.38 -12.9%

BTTS 54.7% 65.4% 1.53 -16.3%

Home O1.5 48.8% 44.6% 2.24 +9.3%

Away O1.5 41.2% 54.3% 1.84 -24.2%

League track record ↗

Based on 9 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 33%

O2.5 56%

BTTS 56%

Score Hit 22%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 37%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-4

xG (home)1.8 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob54.7%

H 47% / xG 1.8-1.4 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.3%

#2 2–1 9.3%

#3 1–2 7.1%

#4 2–0 6.8%

#5 1–0 7.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Slavia III1.8

Viktoria Plzeň II1.4

COMBINED 3.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.9% · O3.5 PROB 36.6%

Form & verdict PPG

SLAVIA III · PPG 1.72

VIKTORIA PLZEŇ II · PPG 1.55

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.43 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Slavia III (H) 46.9%

ODDS 2.75 · IMPLIED 36.4% EV +29.0%

Draw 24.4%

ODDS 3.40 · IMPLIED 29.4% EV -10.2%

Viktoria Plzeň II (A) 28.8%

ODDS 2.15 · IMPLIED 46.5% EV -22.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

Slavia III face Viktoria Plzeň II in Czech-Republic - 3. liga - CFL A on Saturday, August 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Slavia III a 47% chance, the draw 24% and Viktoria Plzeň II 29%, so Slavia III are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Slavia III and 1.4 for Viktoria Plzeň II (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Slavia III are averaging 1.72 points per game versus 1.55 for Viktoria Plzeň II. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +31.2%. This match finished 1-4.

Slavia III vs Viktoria Plzeň II Prediction— Czech-Republic - 3. liga - CFL A

Match Preview & Prediction

More Czech-Republic - 3. liga - CFL A Predictions