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Příbram II vs Bohemians 1905 II Prediction— Czech-Republic - 3. liga - CFL A

Group A · Matchday 5 ·Saturday, September 5, 2026, 13:00

Příbram II

PPG 1.42 · HOME

LAST 5

LLWL ·

UPCOMING

Bohemians 1905 II

PPG 0.72 · AWAY

LAST 5

LDLW ·

// Model verdict

BTTS 69% chance

Model probability 61.5% vs bookmaker-implied 71.4%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.9%0-16.7%0-24.6%0-32.1%0-4+1.0%1 1-08.1%1-111.0%1-27.5%1-33.4%1-4+1.6%2 2-06.7%2-19.1%2-26.2%2-32.8%2-4+1.3%3 3-03.7%3-15.0%3-23.4%3-31.6%3-4+0.7%4+ 4+-02.2%4+-13.0%4+-22.1%4+-30.9%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 42.7% 43.5% 2.30 -1.8%

Draw 23.2% 26.7% 3.75 -7.8%

Away win 34.1% 42.0% 2.38 -18.8%

Over 2.5 59.6% 65.4% 1.53 -8.8%

Over 3.5 36.4% 46.5% 2.15 -21.7%

BTTS 61.5% 71.4% 1.40 -13.9%

Home O1.5 48.4% 56.8% 1.76 -14.8%

Away O1.5 42.2% 53.2% 1.88 -20.7%

League track record ↗

Based on 12 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 33%

O2.5 58%

BTTS 67%

Score Hit 25%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 48%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.7 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob61.5%

H 43% / xG 1.7-1.4 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.0%

#2 2–1 9.1%

#3 1–2 7.5%

#4 2–0 6.7%

#5 1–0 8.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Příbram II1.7

Bohemians 1905 II1.4

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.6% · O3.5 PROB 36.4%

Form & verdict PPG

PŘÍBRAM II · PPG 1.42

BOHEMIANS 1905 II · PPG 0.72

⚠ NO VALUE FOUND - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

Chance this pick lands

69%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.28 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Příbram II (H) 42.7%

ODDS 2.30 · IMPLIED 43.5% EV -1.8%

Draw 23.2%

ODDS 3.75 · IMPLIED 26.7% EV -7.8%

Bohemians 1905 II (A) 34.1%

ODDS 2.38 · IMPLIED 42.0% EV -18.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Příbram II face Bohemians 1905 II in Czech-Republic - 3. liga - CFL A on Saturday, September 5, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Příbram II a 43% chance, the draw 23% and Bohemians 1905 II 34%, so Příbram II are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Příbram II and 1.4 for Bohemians 1905 II (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Příbram II are averaging 1.42 points per game versus 0.72 for Bohemians 1905 II.

Příbram II vs Bohemians 1905 II Prediction— Czech-Republic - 3. liga - CFL A

Match Preview & Prediction

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