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Králův Dvůr vs Jiskra Domažlice Prediction— Czech-Republic - 3. liga - CFL A

Group A · Matchday 5 ·Saturday, September 5, 2026, 15:00

Králův Dvůr

PPG 1.88 · HOME

LAST 5

DWWW ·

UPCOMING

Jiskra Domažlice

PPG 1.85 · AWAY

LAST 5

DWLW ·

// Model verdict

Over 2.5 67% chance

Combined xG of 3.7 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 68.4% vs bookmaker-implied 66.7% — a real, if thin, edge.

+2.6% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.4%0-14.0%0-23.4%0-31.9%0-4+1.2%1 1-04.9%1-18.2%1-26.9%1-33.9%1-4+2.4%2 2-05.0%2-18.4%2-27.1%2-34.0%2-4+2.5%3 3-03.4%3-15.8%3-24.9%3-32.7%3-4+1.7%4+ 4+-02.8%4+-14.8%4+-24.0%4+-32.3%4+-4+1.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 47.5% 40.8% 2.45 +16.4%

Draw 22.0% 26.3% 3.80 -9.8%

Away win 30.5% 44.4% 2.25 -31.4%

Over 2.5 68.4% 66.7% 1.50 +2.6%

Over 3.5 45.0% 49.0% 2.04 -8.2%

BTTS 63.5% 74.1% 1.35 -14.3%

Home O1.5 59.1% 54.3% 1.84 +8.7%

Away O1.5 47.9% 56.5% 1.77 -15.2%

League track record ↗

Based on 12 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 33%

O2.5 58%

BTTS 67%

Score Hit 25%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 59%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.1 xG (away)1.7 BTTS prob63.5%

H 48% / xG 2.1-1.7 / O2.5 68% / BTTS 64%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 8.4%

#2 1–1 8.2%

#3 1–2 6.9%

#4 2–2 7.1%

#5 3–1 5.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Králův Dvůr2.1

Jiskra Domažlice1.7

COMBINED 3.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 68.4% · O3.5 PROB 45.0%

Form & verdict PPG

KRÁLŮV DVŮR · PPG 1.88

JISKRA DOMAŽLICE · PPG 1.85

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

Chance this pick lands

67%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.36 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Králův Dvůr (H) 47.5%

ODDS 2.45 · IMPLIED 40.8% EV +16.4%

Draw 22.0%

ODDS 3.80 · IMPLIED 26.3% EV -9.8%

Jiskra Domažlice (A) 30.5%

ODDS 2.25 · IMPLIED 44.4% EV -31.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

Králův Dvůr face Jiskra Domažlice in Czech-Republic - 3. liga - CFL A on Saturday, September 5, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Králův Dvůr a 48% chance, the draw 22% and Jiskra Domažlice 31%, so Králův Dvůr are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.1 for Králův Dvůr and 1.7 for Jiskra Domažlice (3.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 68% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Králův Dvůr are averaging 1.88 points per game versus 1.85 for Jiskra Domažlice. The best value bet our model finds is TT_HomeO25, with an expected value of +24.0%.

Králův Dvůr vs Jiskra Domažlice Prediction— Czech-Republic - 3. liga - CFL A

Match Preview & Prediction

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