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Al Fujairah SC vs Emirates Club Prediction— United-Arab-Emirates - Division 1

Matchday 3 ·Saturday, September 5, 2026, 15:00

Al Fujairah SC

PPG 1.98 · HOME

LAST 5

WL ···

UPCOMING

Emirates Club

PPG 1.36 · AWAY

LAST 5

LW ···

// Model verdict

Over 2.5 60% chance

Combined xG of 3.3 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 63.7% vs bookmaker-implied 58.8% — a real, if thin, edge.

+8.3% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.6%0-14.6%0-22.9%0-31.2%0-4+0.5%1 1-07.3%1-19.4%1-26.0%1-32.6%1-4+1.1%2 2-07.5%2-19.6%2-26.2%2-32.6%2-4+1.1%3 3-05.2%3-16.6%3-24.2%3-31.8%3-4+0.8%4+ 4+-04.2%4+-15.4%4+-23.5%4+-31.5%4+-4+0.6%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 52.1% 46.5% 2.15 +12.0%

Draw 22.4% 30.3% 3.30 -15.7%

Away win 25.5% 36.4% 2.75 -17.9%

Over 2.5 63.7% 58.8% 1.70 +8.3%

Over 3.5 40.4% 40.7% 2.46 -0.6%

BTTS 61.5% 66.7% 1.50 -7.8%

Home O1.5 59.4% 54.1% 1.85 +9.9%

Away O1.5 37.8% 46.5% 2.15 -18.7%

League track record ↗

Based on 9 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 78%

O2.5 89%

BTTS 44%

Score Hit 44%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 52%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.1 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob61.5%

H 52% / xG 2.1-1.3 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.4%

#2 2–1 9.6%

#3 2–0 7.5%

#4 1–2 6.0%

#5 3–1 6.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Al Fujairah SC2.1

Emirates Club1.3

COMBINED 3.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.7% · O3.5 PROB 40.4%

Form & verdict PPG

AL FUJAIRAH SC · PPG 1.98

EMIRATES CLUB · PPG 1.36

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

Chance this pick lands

60%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.77 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Al Fujairah SC (H) 52.1%

ODDS 2.15 · IMPLIED 46.5% EV +12.0%

Draw 22.4%

ODDS 3.30 · IMPLIED 30.3% EV -15.7%

Emirates Club (A) 25.5%

ODDS 2.75 · IMPLIED 36.4% EV -17.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

Al Fujairah SC face Emirates Club in United-Arab-Emirates - Division 1 on Saturday, September 5, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Al Fujairah SC a 52% chance, the draw 22% and Emirates Club 26%, so Al Fujairah SC are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.1 for Al Fujairah SC and 1.3 for Emirates Club (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Al Fujairah SC are averaging 1.98 points per game versus 1.36 for Emirates Club. The best value bet our model finds is TT_HomeO25, with an expected value of +30.1%.

Al Fujairah SC vs Emirates Club Prediction— United-Arab-Emirates - Division 1

Match Preview & Prediction

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