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Dibba Al Hisn vs Al Hamriyah Prediction— United-Arab-Emirates - Division 1

Matchday 1 ·Sunday, August 23, 2026, 15:15

Dibba Al Hisn

PPG 2.01 · HOME

LAST 5

W ····

4 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Al Hamriyah

PPG 1.50 · AWAY

LAST 5

LW ···

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 55.6% vs bookmaker-implied 62.5%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.7%0-16.7%0-24.0%0-31.6%0-4+0.6%1 1-09.6%1-111.3%1-26.7%1-32.6%1-4+1.0%2 2-08.1%2-19.5%2-25.6%2-32.2%2-4+0.8%3 3-04.5%3-15.4%3-23.2%3-31.2%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-02.8%4+-13.3%4+-21.9%4+-30.8%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 48.0% 47.6% 2.10 +0.8%

Draw 24.5% 29.9% 3.35 -10.8%

Away win 27.5% 33.3% 3.00 -10.5%

Over 2.5 57.5% 57.1% 1.75 +0.6%

Over 3.5 35.3% 34.7% 2.88 +1.7%

BTTS 55.6% 62.5% 1.60 -11.0%

Home O1.5 48.8% 51.3% 1.95 -4.8%

Away O1.5 35.7% 40.0% 2.50 -10.8%

League track record ↗

Based on 6 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 67%

O2.5 100%

BTTS 33%

Score Hit 33%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 42%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 4-0

xG (home)1.7 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob55.6%

H 48% / xG 1.7-1.2 / O2.5 57% / BTTS 56%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.3%

#2 2–1 9.5%

#3 2–0 8.1%

#4 1–0 9.6%

#5 1–2 6.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Dibba Al Hisn1.7

Al Hamriyah1.2

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 57.5% · O3.5 PROB 35.3%

Form & verdict PPG

DIBBA AL HISN · PPG 2.01

AL HAMRIYAH · PPG 1.50

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.50 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Dibba Al Hisn (H) 48.0%

ODDS 2.10 · IMPLIED 47.6% EV +0.8%

Draw 24.5%

ODDS 3.35 · IMPLIED 29.9% EV -10.8%

Al Hamriyah (A) 27.5%

ODDS 3.00 · IMPLIED 33.3% EV -10.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Dibba Al Hisn face Al Hamriyah in United-Arab-Emirates - Division 1 on Sunday, August 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Dibba Al Hisn a 48% chance, the draw 25% and Al Hamriyah 28%, so Dibba Al Hisn are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Dibba Al Hisn and 1.2 for Al Hamriyah (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 57% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Dibba Al Hisn are averaging 2.01 points per game versus 1.50 for Al Hamriyah. The best value bet our model finds is A/O25, with an expected value of +3.6%. This match finished 4-0.

Dibba Al Hisn vs Al Hamriyah Prediction— United-Arab-Emirates - Division 1

Match Preview & Prediction

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