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Al Urooba vs Al Thaid Prediction— United-Arab-Emirates - Division 1

Matchday 1 ·Friday, August 21, 2026, 15:15

Al Urooba

PPG 1.96 · HOME

LAST 5

DD ···

1 – 1

FULL TIME

Al Thaid

PPG 1.69 · AWAY

LAST 5

DW ···

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-011.2%0-110.4%0-24.8%0-31.5%0-4+0.4%1 1-014.1%1-113.1%1-26.1%1-31.9%1-4+0.5%2 2-08.9%2-18.3%2-23.8%2-31.2%2-4+0.3%3 3-03.7%3-13.5%3-21.6%3-30.5%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.5%4+-11.4%4+-20.7%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 45.0% 54.6% 1.83 -17.6%

Draw 27.3% 28.2% 3.55 -1.8%

Away win 27.7% 27.4% 3.65 +0.7%

Over 2.5 44.8% 56.5% 1.77 -20.7%

Over 3.5 25.6% 33.9% 2.95 -14.7%

BTTS 49.1% 59.9% 1.67 -18.0%

Home O1.5 37.1% 55.6% 1.80 -33.2%

Away O1.5 25.3% 35.1% 2.85 -16.7%

League track record ↗

Based on 6 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 67%

O2.5 100%

BTTS 33%

Score Hit 33%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 28%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob49.1%

H 45% / xG 1.3-0.9 / U2.5 45% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 14.1%

#2 1–1✓ 13.1%

#3 0–0 11.2%

#4 2–0 8.9%

#5 0–1 10.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Al Urooba1.3

Al Thaid0.9

COMBINED 2.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 44.8% · O3.5 PROB 25.6%

Form & verdict PPG

AL UROOBA · PPG 1.96

AL THAID · PPG 1.69

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear value

65%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.33, combined xG 2.19 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Al Urooba (H) 45.0%

ODDS 1.83 · IMPLIED 54.6% EV -17.6%

Draw 27.3%

ODDS 3.55 · IMPLIED 28.2% EV -1.8%

Al Thaid (A) 27.7%

ODDS 3.65 · IMPLIED 27.4% EV +0.7%

Match Preview & Prediction

Al Urooba face Al Thaid in United-Arab-Emirates - Division 1 on Friday, August 21, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Al Urooba a 45% chance, the draw 27% and Al Thaid 28%, so Al Urooba are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Al Urooba and 0.9 for Al Thaid (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 45% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Al Urooba are averaging 1.96 points per game versus 1.69 for Al Thaid. This match finished 1-1.

Al Urooba vs Al Thaid Prediction— United-Arab-Emirates - Division 1

Match Preview & Prediction

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