Today / Northern-Ireland - Championship / Limavady vs Queens U.

Limavady vs Queens U. Prediction— Northern-Ireland - Championship

Promotion Group - 38 ·Friday, April 24, 2026, 18:45

Limavady

PPG 2.18 · HOME

0 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · HOME

Queens U.

PPG 1.56 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.18) > Away GOOD (1.56)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.5%0-15.8%0-22.2%0-30.6%0-4+0.1%1 1-013.7%1-110.5%1-24.0%1-31.0%1-4+0.2%2 2-012.5%2-19.6%2-23.7%2-30.9%2-4+0.2%3 3-07.6%3-15.8%3-22.2%3-30.6%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-05.2%4+-14.0%4+-21.5%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 62.5% — — —

Draw 22.3% — — —

Away win 15.2% — — —

Over 2.5 47.9% — — —

Over 3.5 26.1% — — —

BTTS 44.8% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 6 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 83%

BTTS 50%

Score Hit 33%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 0 40%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-1

xG (home)1.8 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob44.8%

H 62% / xG 1.8-0.8 / O2.5 48% / NoBTTS 45%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 13.7%

#2 2–0 12.5%

#3 1–1 10.5%

#4 2–1 9.6%

#5 3–0 7.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Limavady1.8

Queens U.0.8

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 47.9% · O3.5 PROB 26.1%

Form & verdict PPG

LIMAVADY · PPG 2.18

QUEENS U. · PPG 1.56

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.18) > Away GOOD (1.56)

Win probability 1X2

Limavady (H) 62.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Queens U. (A) 15.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Limavady face Queens U. in Northern-Ireland - Championship on Friday, April 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Limavady a 63% chance, the draw 22% and Queens U. 15%, so Limavady are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Limavady and 0.8 for Queens U. (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 48% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 45% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Limavady are averaging 2.18 points per game versus 1.56 for Queens U.. This match finished 0-1.

Limavady vs Queens U. Prediction— Northern-Ireland - Championship

Match Preview & Prediction

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