Armagh City vs Institute Prediction— Northern-Ireland - Championship

Northern-Ireland - Championship Relegation Group - 38 Saturday, April 25, 2026 14:00

Armagh City PPG 0.56

1-4 MISS

Institute PPG 1.33

Away· -7.4% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Armagh City face Institute in Northern-Ireland - Championship on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Armagh City a 8% chance, the draw 13% and Institute 79%, so Institute are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for Armagh City and 2.8 for Institute (3.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-2. There is a 68% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Armagh City are averaging 0.56 points per game versus 1.33 for Institute. This match finished 1-4.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 7.6%

Odds: 12.00 EV: -8.8%

Draw 13.3%

Odds: 5.75 EV: -23.5%

Away 79.1%

Odds: 1.17 EV: -7.4%

Model lean: Away Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 68.1% Odds: — —

Over 3.5 46.5% Odds: 1.85 -14.0%

BTTS 49.5% Odds: — —

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-2 ✘

2nd 0-3 ✘

3rd 1-2 ✘

4th 0-1 ✘

5th 1-3 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Armagh City

0.75

Institute

2.75

Model SuggestionAway -7.4% EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (-7.4%), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 6 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5/Under 83%

BTTS/No 50%

Score Hit 33%

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: AVERAGE form (1.33) vs Home POOR (0.56)