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Ballinamallard vs Dundela Prediction— Northern-Ireland - Championship

Northern-Ireland - Championship logo Northern-Ireland flag Northern-Ireland - Championship Relegation Group - 38 Saturday, April 25, 2026 14:00
Ballinamallard logo Ballinamallard PPG 1.16
2-2 MISS
Dundela logo Dundela PPG 0.56
Home· +16.4% ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
75% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Ballinamallard face Dundela in Northern-Ireland - Championship on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Ballinamallard a 57% chance, the draw 23% and Dundela 21%, so Ballinamallard are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Ballinamallard and 1.0 for Dundela (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 56% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Ballinamallard are averaging 1.16 points per game versus 0.56 for Dundela. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +16.4%. This match finished 2-2.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 56.8%
Odds: 2.05 EV: +16.4%
Draw 22.5%
Odds: 3.40 EV: -23.5%
Away 20.7%
Odds: 2.95 EV: -38.9%
Model lean: Home
Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 55.5% Odds: 1.65 -8.4%
Over 3.5 33.2% Odds: —
BTTS 54.6% Odds: —
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 1-0
3rd 2-1
4th 2-0
5th 3-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Ballinamallard
1.87
Dundela
1.04

Model Suggestion

Home +16.4% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home.

League Track Record

Based on 6 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%
O2.5/Under 83%
BTTS/No 50%
Score Hit 33%

Verdict & Form

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
75%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.16) > Away POOR (0.56)

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