Today / Northern-Ireland - Championship / HW Welders vs Annagh Utd

HW Welders vs Annagh Utd Prediction— Northern-Ireland - Championship

Promotion Group - 38 ·Friday, April 24, 2026, 18:45

HW Welders

PPG 1.72 · HOME

4 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Annagh Utd

PPG 1.76 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 57.6% vs bookmaker-implied 65.4%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.5%0-16.9%0-24.3%0-31.8%0-4+0.7%1 1-09.1%1-111.3%1-27.1%1-32.9%1-4+1.2%2 2-07.5%2-19.4%2-25.8%2-32.4%2-4+1.0%3 3-04.2%3-15.2%3-23.2%3-31.3%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-02.5%4+-13.1%4+-21.9%4+-30.8%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 47.0% 71.4% 1.40 -34.2%

Draw 24.2% 23.8% 4.20 +1.6%

Away win 28.8% 16.7% 6.00 +72.8%

Over 2.5 55.4% 69.4% 1.44 -20.2%

Over 3.5 33.0% 47.6% 2.10 -30.7%

BTTS 57.6% 65.4% 1.53 -11.9%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 6 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 83%

BTTS 50%

Score Hit 33%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 41%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 4-0

xG (home)1.7 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob57.6%

H 47% / xG 1.7-1.2 / O2.5 55% / BTTS 58%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.3%

#2 2–1 9.4%

#3 1–0 9.1%

#4 2–0 7.5%

#5 1–2 7.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

HW Welders1.7

Annagh Utd1.2

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 55.4% · O3.5 PROB 33.0%

Form & verdict PPG

HW WELDERS · PPG 1.72

ANNAGH UTD · PPG 1.76

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.72), Away GOOD (1.76)

Win probability 1X2

HW Welders (H) 47.0%

ODDS 1.40 · IMPLIED 71.4% EV -34.2%

Draw 24.2%

ODDS 4.20 · IMPLIED 23.8% EV +1.6%

Annagh Utd (A) 28.8%

ODDS 6.00 · IMPLIED 16.7% EV +72.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

HW Welders face Annagh Utd in Northern-Ireland - Championship on Friday, April 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives HW Welders a 47% chance, the draw 24% and Annagh Utd 29%, so HW Welders are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for HW Welders and 1.2 for Annagh Utd (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 55% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 58% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, HW Welders are averaging 1.72 points per game versus 1.76 for Annagh Utd. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +72.8%. This match finished 4-0.

HW Welders vs Annagh Utd Prediction— Northern-Ireland - Championship

Match Preview & Prediction

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