HW Welders vs Annagh Utd Prediction— Northern-Ireland - Championship

Northern-Ireland - Championship Promotion Group - 38 Friday, April 24, 2026 18:45

HW Welders PPG 1.72

4-0 MISS

Annagh Utd PPG 1.76

Away· +72.8% ✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

HW Welders face Annagh Utd in Northern-Ireland - Championship on Friday, April 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives HW Welders a 47% chance, the draw 24% and Annagh Utd 29%, so HW Welders are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for HW Welders and 1.2 for Annagh Utd (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 55% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 58% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, HW Welders are averaging 1.72 points per game versus 1.76 for Annagh Utd. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +72.8%. This match finished 4-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 47.0%

Odds: 1.40 EV: -34.2%

Draw 24.2%

Odds: 4.20 EV: +1.6%

Away 28.8%

Odds: 6.00 EV: +72.8%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 55.4% Odds: 1.44 -20.2%

Over 3.5 33.0% Odds: 2.10 -30.7%

BTTS 57.6% Odds: 1.53 -11.9%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 2-1 ✘

3rd 1-0 ✘

4th 2-0 ✘

5th 1-2 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

HW Welders

1.65

Annagh Utd

1.25

Model SuggestionBTTS -11.9% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -11.9% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Away (+72.8%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.72), Away GOOD (1.76)