Leagues / NORTHERN IRELAND / Championship

Championship

NORTHERN IRELAND · 6 MATCHES TRACKED · 24 APR 2026 – 25 APR 2026

● LOW SAMPLE

FEWER THAN 10 SETTLED PICKS — NO VERDICT YET

// Model accuracy

How often the model's probability calls were right — graded on all 6 resolved matches, whether or not a bet was published.

50.0%

1X2

3/6

83.3%

O/U 2.5

5/6

50.0%

BTTS

3/6

33.3%

Exact score

2/6

// Published picks

Picks that met publication thresholds, settled at listed odds with a flat 1-unit stake. Separate from raw model accuracy on the left.

Settled

50.0%

Hit rate

2/4

1.56

Avg odds

-33.3%

ROI

-1.3u

Picks by market

FLAT 1U · BREAK-EVEN AT IMPLIED % MARKED ▎· SMALL SAMPLES — READ WITH CARE

BTTS · N=2 50.0% HIT · AVG 1.51 · -25.0% ROI

AWAY WIN · N=1 100.0% HIT · AVG 1.17 · +17.0% ROI

HOME WIN · N=1 0.0% HIT · AVG 2.05 · -100.0% ROI

Picks by verdict tier

VERDICTS NORMALIZED INTO CONFIDENCE TIERS · LOW-CONFIDENCE FLAG OVERRIDES

✓ Fair / Caution

Bets

Hit

-100.0%

ROI

⚠ Low confidence

Bets

100%

Hit

+33.5%

ROI

Match log

6 RESOLVED · GROUPED BY MONTH · — MEANS NO PICK PUBLISHED

DateMatchPickEVFTResult

April 2026 // 6 PICKS · 2 HIT · 4 MISS

25 APR Armagh City vs Institute Away -7% 1–4 HIT 25 APR Ballinamallard vs Dundela Home +16% 2–2 MISS 25 APR Warrenpoint vs Ards BTTS 0–1 MISS 24 APR HW Welders vs Annagh Utd BTTS -12% 4–0 MISS 24 APR Limavady vs Queens U. Home 0–1 MISS 24 APR Newington vs Loughgall BTTS -11% 2–1 HIT