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Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2 vs San Martín San Juan Res. Prediction— Argentina - Reserve League

Clausura · Matchday 7 ·Wednesday, September 2, 2026, 18:00

Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2

PPG 1.17 · HOME

LAST 5

DLWDW

1 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

San Martín San Juan Res.

PPG 0.42 · AWAY

LAST 5

LDWWL

// Model verdict

Over 2.5 51% chance

Combined xG of 2.7 puts the goal expectation above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.8%0-16.1%0-22.8%0-30.8%0-4+0.2%1 1-012.1%1-110.9%1-24.9%1-31.5%1-4+0.4%2 2-010.8%2-19.8%2-24.4%2-31.3%2-4+0.4%3 3-06.5%3-15.8%3-22.6%3-30.8%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-04.3%4+-13.9%4+-21.8%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 49.9% — — —

Draw 23.7% — — —

Away win 26.4% — — —

Over 2.5 51.1% — — —

Over 3.5 31.6% — — —

BTTS 50.5% — — —

Home O1.5 49.9% — — —

Away O1.5 26.0% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 110 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 34%

O2.5 56%

BTTS 53%

Score Hit 62%

ROI -10.2%

Bet Hit 46%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.9%

#2 2–0 10.8%

#3 1–0✓ 12.1%

#4 2–1 9.8%

#5 1–2 4.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 21.8

San Martín San Juan Res.0.9

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 51.1% · O3.5 PROB 31.6%

Form & verdict PPG

ESTUDIANTES RIO CUARTO 2 · PPG 1.17

SAN MARTÍN SAN JUAN RES. · PPG 0.42

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

Chance this pick lands

51%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.88 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2 (H) 49.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 23.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

San Martín San Juan Res. (A) 26.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2 face San Martín San Juan Res. in Argentina - Reserve League on Wednesday, September 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2 a 50% chance, the draw 24% and San Martín San Juan Res. 26%, so Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2 and 0.9 for San Martín San Juan Res. (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 51% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2 are averaging 1.17 points per game versus 0.42 for San Martín San Juan Res.. This match finished 1-0.

Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2 vs San Martín San Juan Res. Prediction— Argentina - Reserve League

Match Preview & Prediction

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