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Schonnebeck vs Biemenhorst Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Niederrhein

Niederrhein - 29 ·Friday, April 24, 2026, 18:00

Schonnebeck logo
Schonnebeck
PPG 1.79 · HOME
0 – 0
FULL TIME
✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5
Biemenhorst logo
Biemenhorst
PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 5.5 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.4%0-10.6%0-20.5%0-30.2%0-4+0.1%1 1-01.6%1-12.4%1-21.8%1-30.9%1-4+0.5%2 2-03.2%2-14.8%2-23.6%2-31.8%2-4+1.0%3 3-04.3%3-16.5%3-24.9%3-32.5%3-4+1.3%4+ 4+-012.5%4+-119.0%4+-214.4%4+-37.3%4+-4+3.9%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 80.6%
Draw 10.2%
Away win 9.2%
Over 2.5 91.4%
Over 3.5 80.3%
BTTS 76.7%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

League track record

Based on 52 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 40%
O2.5 58%
BTTS 56%
Score Hit 17%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 83%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 0-0
xG (home)4.0 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob76.7%

H 81% / xG 4.0-1.5 / O2.5 91% / BTTS 77%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 4–1 6.5%
#2 3–1 6.5%
#3 5–1 5.2%
#4 4–2 4.9%
#5 3–2 4.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Schonnebeck4.0
Biemenhorst1.5

COMBINED 5.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 91.4% · O3.5 PROB 80.3%

Form & verdict PPG

SCHONNEBECK · PPG 1.79

BIEMENHORST · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.79) > Away AVERAGE (1.00)

Win probability 1X2

Schonnebeck (H) 80.6%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 10.2%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Biemenhorst (A) 9.2%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Schonnebeck face Biemenhorst in Germany - Oberliga - Niederrhein on Friday, April 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Schonnebeck a 81% chance, the draw 10% and Biemenhorst 9%, so Schonnebeck are favoured to win. Expected goals are 4.0 for Schonnebeck and 1.5 for Biemenhorst (5.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 4-1. There is a 91% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 77% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Schonnebeck are averaging 1.79 points per game versus 1.00 for Biemenhorst. This match finished 0-0.

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