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Sturm Graz W vs Südburgenland W Prediction— Austria - Frauenliga

Matchday 5 ·Saturday, August 29, 2026, 16:00

Sturm Graz W

PPG 1.78 · HOME

LAST 5

WWWDW

3 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME O1.5

Südburgenland W

PPG 0.71 · AWAY

LAST 5

LDDLL

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

xG gap +1.36 - moderate Home edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.5%0-12.9%0-21.7%0-30.7%0-4+0.3%1 1-06.2%1-17.3%1-24.3%1-31.7%1-4+0.6%2 2-07.9%2-19.3%2-25.4%2-32.1%2-4+0.8%3 3-06.7%3-17.8%3-24.6%3-31.8%3-4+0.7%4+ 4+-07.7%4+-19.0%4+-25.3%4+-32.1%4+-4+0.8%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 57.8% — — —

Draw 20.5% — — —

Away win 21.6% — — —

Over 2.5 64.2% — — —

Over 3.5 43.2% — — —

BTTS 60.1% — — —

Home O1.5 65.8% — — —

Away O1.5 33.0% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 29 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 59%

O2.5 59%

BTTS 52%

Score Hit 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 7.3%

#2 2–1 9.3%

#3 2–0 7.9%

#4 3–1✓ 7.8%

#5 1–2 4.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Sturm Graz W2.5

Südburgenland W1.2

COMBINED 3.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 64.2% · O3.5 PROB 43.2%

Form & verdict PPG

STURM GRAZ W · PPG 1.78

SÜDBURGENLAND W · PPG 0.71

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.36 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Sturm Graz W (H) 57.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 20.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Südburgenland W (A) 21.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Sturm Graz W face Südburgenland W in Austria - Frauenliga on Saturday, August 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Sturm Graz W a 58% chance, the draw 21% and Südburgenland W 22%, so Sturm Graz W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.5 for Sturm Graz W and 1.2 for Südburgenland W (3.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Sturm Graz W are averaging 1.78 points per game versus 0.71 for Südburgenland W. This match finished 3-1.

Sturm Graz W vs Südburgenland W Prediction— Austria - Frauenliga

Match Preview & Prediction

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