Today / Austria - Frauenliga / St. Polten W vs Austria Wien W

St. Polten W vs Austria Wien W Prediction— Austria - Frauenliga

Championship Group - 19 ·Sunday, April 26, 2026, 10:45

St. Polten W logo
St. Polten W
PPG 2.44 · HOME
0 – 0
FULL TIME
✘ MODEL PICK MISS · AWAY
Austria Wien W logo
Austria Wien W
PPG 2.78 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

Model probability 50.4% vs bookmaker-implied 46.5% — a real, if thin, edge.

+8.4% EXPECTED VALUE ↗
ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-019.9%0-123.6%0-214.0%0-35.5%0-4+2.1%1 1-08.6%1-110.1%1-26.0%1-32.4%1-4+0.9%2 2-01.8%2-12.2%2-21.3%2-30.5%2-4+0.2%3 3-00.3%3-10.3%3-20.2%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.0%4+-10.0%4+-20.0%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 15.6% 35.7% 2.80 -56.3%
Draw 34.0% 30.3% 3.30 +12.2%
Away win 50.4% 46.5% 2.15 +8.4%
Over 2.5 35.9% 58.8% 1.70 -39.0%
Over 3.5 8.0%
BTTS 39.6%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

League track record

Based on 21 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 62%
O2.5 67%
BTTS 48%
Score Hit 48%
ROI 3.3%
Bet Hit 71%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 47%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 0-0
xG (home)0.4 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob39.6%

A 50% / xG 0.4-1.2 / U2.5 36% / NoBTTS 40%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–1 23.6%
#2 0–0 19.9%
#3 0–2 14.0%
#4 1–1 10.1%
#5 1–0 8.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

St. Polten W0.4
Austria Wien W1.2

COMBINED 1.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 35.9% · O3.5 PROB 8.0%

Form & verdict PPG

ST. POLTEN W · PPG 2.44

AUSTRIA WIEN W · PPG 2.78

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team
45%
DANGER

Home weakness: EXCELLENT (2.44) vs Away EXCELLENT (2.78)

Win probability 1X2

St. Polten W (H) 15.6%
ODDS 2.80 · IMPLIED 35.7% EV -56.3%
Draw 34.0%
ODDS 3.30 · IMPLIED 30.3% EV +12.2%
Austria Wien W (A) 50.4%
ODDS 2.15 · IMPLIED 46.5% EV +8.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

St. Polten W face Austria Wien W in Austria - Frauenliga on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives St. Polten W a 16% chance, the draw 34% and Austria Wien W 50%, so Austria Wien W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.4 for St. Polten W and 1.2 for Austria Wien W (1.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-1. There is a 36% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 40% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, St. Polten W are averaging 2.44 points per game versus 2.78 for Austria Wien W. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +12.2%. This match finished 0-0.

PredictVantage

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