Austria Wien W vs Sturm Graz W Prediction & Tips

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Austria - Frauenliga Championship Group - 21 Generali Arena· Vienna Saturday, May 9, 2026 12:00

Austria Wien W PPG 3.00

3-1 MISS

Sturm Graz W PPG 2.18

Away· +21.0% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...

55% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 61.4%

Odds: 1.22 EV: -25.1%

Draw 23.6%

Odds: 5.00 EV: +10.8%

Away 15.0%

Odds: 9.00 EV: +21.0%

Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 59.3% Odds: 1.50 -11.1%

Over 3.5 33.7% Odds: 2.20 -25.9%

BTTS 51.0% Odds: 1.95 -0.5%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-0 ✘

2nd 1-0 ✘

3rd 3-0 ✘

4th 1-1 ✘

5th 2-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Austria Wien W

2.25

Sturm Graz W

0.68

Model SuggestionHome -25.1% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Home, but EV is -25.1% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Away (+21.0%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (3.00) vs P(Home)=61.4%