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LASK W vs St. Pölten W Prediction— Austria - Frauenliga

Matchday 4 ·Saturday, August 22, 2026, 10:30

LASK W

PPG 0.93 · HOME

LAST 5

WLLLD

0 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · AWAY

St. Pölten W

PPG 2.33 · AWAY

LAST 5

WWWW ·

// Model verdict

Away

Model probability 67.2% vs bookmaker-implied 94.3%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.2%0-111.9%0-213.7%0-310.5%0-4+10.4%1 1-03.4%1-17.8%1-29.0%1-36.9%1-4+6.9%2 2-01.1%2-12.6%2-23.0%2-32.3%2-4+2.3%3 3-00.2%3-10.6%3-20.7%3-30.5%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-00.0%4+-10.1%4+-20.1%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 13.3% 2.4% 41.00 +267.2%

Draw 19.5% 10.5% 9.50 +51.1%

Away win 67.2% 94.3% 1.06 -28.8%

Over 2.5 53.9% 73.5% 1.36 -26.7%

Over 3.5 34.5% 54.1% 1.85 -36.2%

BTTS 47.6% 30.3% 3.30 +57.1%

Home O1.5 30.6% 9.3% 10.75 +228.9%

Away O1.5 65.4% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 29 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 59%

O2.5 59%

BTTS 52%

Score Hit 55%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 3 51%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-2

xG (home)0.7 xG (away)2.3 BTTS prob47.6%

A 67% / xG 0.7-2.3 / O2.5 54% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–2✓ 13.7%

#2 0–1 11.9%

#3 0–3 10.5%

#4 1–1 7.8%

#5 1–2 9.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

LASK W0.7

St. Pölten W2.3

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.9% · O3.5 PROB 34.5%

Form & verdict PPG

LASK W · PPG 0.93

ST. PÖLTEN W · PPG 2.33

✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum

90%

UPSET_VALUE

xG gap -1.65 for Away, form 0.93 vs 2.33

Win probability 1X2

LASK W (H) 13.3%

ODDS 41.00 · IMPLIED 2.4% EV +267.2%

Draw 19.5%

ODDS 9.50 · IMPLIED 10.5% EV +51.1%

St. Pölten W (A) 67.2%

ODDS 1.06 · IMPLIED 94.3% EV -28.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

LASK W face St. Pölten W in Austria - Frauenliga on Saturday, August 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives LASK W a 13% chance, the draw 20% and St. Pölten W 67%, so St. Pölten W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.7 for LASK W and 2.3 for St. Pölten W (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-2. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, LASK W are averaging 0.93 points per game versus 2.33 for St. Pölten W. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +273.0%. This match finished 0-2.

LASK W vs St. Pölten W Prediction— Austria - Frauenliga

Match Preview & Prediction

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