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SCR Altach W vs First Vienna W Prediction— Austria - Frauenliga

Relegation Group - 20 ·Sunday, May 3, 2026, 09:00

SCR Altach W

PPG 1.20 · HOME

1 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

First Vienna W

PPG 1.33 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.2 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 78.6% vs bookmaker-implied 65.4% — a clear edge.

+20.3% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.5%0-13.3%0-23.5%0-32.5%0-4+2.2%1 1-03.1%1-16.7%1-27.2%1-35.1%1-4+4.5%2 2-03.2%2-16.8%2-27.3%2-35.2%2-4+4.6%3 3-02.2%3-14.6%3-24.9%3-33.5%3-4+3.1%4+ 4+-01.8%4+-13.8%4+-24.0%4+-32.9%4+-4+2.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 36.9% 30.3% 3.30 +21.8%

Draw 22.2% 28.6% 3.50 -22.3%

Away win 40.9% 54.1% 1.85 -24.3%

Over 2.5 78.6% 65.4% 1.53 +20.3%

Over 3.5 60.0% 44.8% 2.23 +33.8%

BTTS 77.7% 69.4% 1.44 +11.9%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 21 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 62%

O2.5 67%

BTTS 48%

Score Hit 48%

ROI 3.3%

Bet Hit 71%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 3 50%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-3

xG (home)2.0 xG (away)2.1 BTTS prob77.7%

A 41% / xG 2.0-2.1 / O2.5 79% / BTTS 78%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 6.7%

#2 2–2 7.3%

#3 1–2 7.2%

#4 2–1 6.8%

#5 2–3 5.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

SCR Altach W2.0

First Vienna W2.1

COMBINED 4.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 78.6% · O3.5 PROB 60.0%

Form & verdict PPG

SCR ALTACH W · PPG 1.20

FIRST VIENNA W · PPG 1.33

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.20), Away AVERAGE (1.33)

Win probability 1X2

SCR Altach W (H) 36.9%

ODDS 3.30 · IMPLIED 30.3% EV +21.8%

Draw 22.2%

ODDS 3.50 · IMPLIED 28.6% EV -22.3%

First Vienna W (A) 40.9%

ODDS 1.85 · IMPLIED 54.1% EV -24.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

SCR Altach W face First Vienna W in Austria - Frauenliga on Sunday, May 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives SCR Altach W a 37% chance, the draw 22% and First Vienna W 41%, so First Vienna W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for SCR Altach W and 2.1 for First Vienna W (4.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 79% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 78% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, SCR Altach W are averaging 1.20 points per game versus 1.33 for First Vienna W. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +33.8%. This match finished 1-3.

SCR Altach W vs First Vienna W Prediction— Austria - Frauenliga

Match Preview & Prediction

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