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Benfica U19 vs União Leiria U19 Prediction— Portugal - Júniores U19

Matchday 1 ·Saturday, August 29, 2026, 15:30

Benfica U19

PPG 2.19 · HOME

LAST 5

DWW ··

5 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME O1.5

União Leiria U19

PPG 1.28 · AWAY

LAST 5

DDL ··

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

xG gap +0.58 - moderate Home edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.8%0-16.6%0-23.7%0-31.4%0-4+0.5%1 1-010.0%1-111.3%1-26.4%1-32.4%1-4+0.9%2 2-08.5%2-19.7%2-25.5%2-32.1%2-4+0.7%3 3-04.9%3-15.5%3-23.1%3-31.2%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-03.1%4+-13.5%4+-22.0%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 47.1% — — —

Draw 27.3% — — —

Away win 25.6% — — —

Over 2.5 52.1% — — —

Over 3.5 31.5% — — —

BTTS 52.7% — — —

Home O1.5 48.9% — — —

Away O1.5 33.0% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 11 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 64%

O2.5 64%

BTTS 64%

Score Hit 36%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.3%

#2 2–1 9.7%

#3 2–0 8.5%

#4 1–0 10.0%

#5 0–0 5.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Benfica U191.7

União Leiria U191.1

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 52.1% · O3.5 PROB 31.5%

Form & verdict PPG

BENFICA U19 · PPG 2.19

UNIÃO LEIRIA U19 · PPG 1.28

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.58 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Benfica U19 (H) 47.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 27.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

União Leiria U19 (A) 25.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Benfica U19 face União Leiria U19 in Portugal - Júniores U19 on Saturday, August 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Benfica U19 a 47% chance, the draw 27% and União Leiria U19 26%, so Benfica U19 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Benfica U19 and 1.1 for União Leiria U19 (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Benfica U19 are averaging 2.19 points per game versus 1.28 for União Leiria U19. This match finished 5-0.

Benfica U19 vs União Leiria U19 Prediction— Portugal - Júniores U19

Match Preview & Prediction

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