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St. Pölten W vs Salzburg W Prediction— Austria - Frauenliga

Matchday 5 ·Saturday, August 29, 2026, 12:00

St. Pölten W

PPG 2.25 · HOME

LAST 5

WWWW ·

2 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

Salzburg W

PPG 1.07 · AWAY

LAST 5

WWLLL

// Model verdict

Home

xG gap +1.38 - moderate Home edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.3%0-13.4%0-21.7%0-30.6%0-4+0.2%1 1-07.9%1-18.1%1-24.1%1-31.4%1-4+0.4%2 2-09.5%2-19.6%2-24.9%2-31.6%2-4+0.5%3 3-07.6%3-17.7%3-23.9%3-31.3%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-08.0%4+-18.1%4+-24.1%4+-31.4%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 65.3% — — —

Draw 19.2% — — —

Away win 15.5% — — —

Over 2.5 63.1% — — —

Over 3.5 39.3% — — —

BTTS 54.3% — — —

Home O1.5 65.8% — — —

Away O1.5 32.3% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 29 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 59%

O2.5 59%

BTTS 52%

Score Hit 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 9.6%

#2 2–0✓ 9.5%

#3 1–1 8.1%

#4 3–1 7.7%

#5 3–0 7.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

St. Pölten W2.4

Salzburg W1.0

COMBINED 3.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.1% · O3.5 PROB 39.3%

Form & verdict PPG

ST. PÖLTEN W · PPG 2.25

SALZBURG W · PPG 1.07

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.38 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

St. Pölten W (H) 65.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 19.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Salzburg W (A) 15.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

St. Pölten W face Salzburg W in Austria - Frauenliga on Saturday, August 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives St. Pölten W a 65% chance, the draw 19% and Salzburg W 16%, so St. Pölten W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.4 for St. Pölten W and 1.0 for Salzburg W (3.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 54% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, St. Pölten W are averaging 2.25 points per game versus 1.07 for Salzburg W. This match finished 2-0.

St. Pölten W vs Salzburg W Prediction— Austria - Frauenliga

Match Preview & Prediction

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