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Resovia Rzeszów vs Sandecja Nowy Sącz Prediction— Poland - II Liga - East

Matchday 6 ·Friday, August 28, 2026, 18:30

Resovia Rzeszów

PPG 1.17 · HOME

LAST 5

LLDDL

0 – 3

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Sandecja Nowy Sącz

PPG 1.61 · AWAY

LAST 5

WLWDW

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 52.7% vs bookmaker-implied 59.9%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.3%0-111.4%0-27.8%0-33.6%0-4+1.6%1 1-09.3%1-112.7%1-28.7%1-34.0%1-4+1.8%2 2-05.2%2-17.1%2-24.9%2-32.2%2-4+1.0%3 3-01.9%3-12.6%3-21.8%3-30.8%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-00.7%4+-10.9%4+-20.6%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 35.6% 31.3% 3.20 +13.9%

Draw 26.8% 33.3% 3.00 -11.8%

Away win 37.6% 48.8% 2.05 -22.9%

Over 2.5 50.5% 52.6% 1.90 -4.0%

Over 3.5 28.7% 30.8% 3.25 -4.0%

BTTS 52.7% 59.9% 1.67 -12.0%

Home O1.5 31.0% 36.4% 2.75 -14.8%

Away O1.5 40.9% 50.0% 2.00 -18.2%

League track record ↗

Based on 74 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 45%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 54%

Score Hit 47%

ROI 11.7%

Bet Hit 65%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 19%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-3

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob52.7%

A 38% / xG 1.1-1.4 / O2.5 50% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.7%

#2 1–0 9.3%

#3 0–0 8.3%

#4 2–1 7.1%

#5 0–1 11.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Resovia Rzeszów1.1

Sandecja Nowy Sącz1.4

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.5% · O3.5 PROB 28.7%

Form & verdict PPG

RESOVIA RZESZÓW · PPG 1.17

SANDECJA NOWY SĄCZ · PPG 1.61

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected

65%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap -0.25, combined xG 2.49 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Resovia Rzeszów (H) 35.6%

ODDS 3.20 · IMPLIED 31.3% EV +13.9%

Draw 26.8%

ODDS 3.00 · IMPLIED 33.3% EV -11.8%

Sandecja Nowy Sącz (A) 37.6%

ODDS 2.05 · IMPLIED 48.8% EV -22.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

Resovia Rzeszów face Sandecja Nowy Sącz in Poland - II Liga - East on Friday, August 28, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Resovia Rzeszów a 36% chance, the draw 27% and Sandecja Nowy Sącz 38%, so Sandecja Nowy Sącz are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Resovia Rzeszów and 1.4 for Sandecja Nowy Sącz (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Resovia Rzeszów are averaging 1.17 points per game versus 1.61 for Sandecja Nowy Sącz. The best value bet our model finds is H/BTTS, with an expected value of +10.6%. This match finished 0-3.

Resovia Rzeszów vs Sandecja Nowy Sącz Prediction— Poland - II Liga - East

Match Preview & Prediction

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