Today / Bolivia - Primera División / Real Tomayapo vs Always Ready

Real Tomayapo vs Always Ready Prediction— Bolivia - Primera División

Apertura · Matchday 16 ·Sunday, August 23, 2026, 23:30

Real Tomayapo

PPG 1.29 · HOME

LAST 5

LLWDW

1 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · AWAY

Always Ready

PPG 2.14 · AWAY

LAST 5

DWDDD

// Model verdict

Away

Model probability 60.4% vs bookmaker-implied 69.4%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-010.5%0-117.2%0-214.2%0-37.8%0-4+4.6%1 1-06.4%1-110.5%1-28.7%1-34.8%1-4+2.8%2 2-01.9%2-13.2%2-22.6%2-31.4%2-4+0.9%3 3-00.4%3-10.7%3-20.5%3-30.3%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-00.1%4+-10.1%4+-20.1%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 14.2% 18.5% 5.40 -14.0%

Draw 25.4% 21.7% 4.60 +10.1%

Away win 60.4% 69.4% 1.44 -13.0%

Over 2.5 47.8% 73.5% 1.36 -35.0%

Over 3.5 27.7% 51.8% 1.93 -27.9%

BTTS 47.6% 67.6% 1.48 -29.5%

Home O1.5 30.6% 36.4% 2.75 -15.8%

Away O1.5 48.5% 76.9% 1.30 -37.0%

League track record ↗

Based on 58 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 59%

BTTS 50%

Score Hit 45%

ROI -21.5%

Bet Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 38%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)0.6 xG (away)1.6 BTTS prob47.6%

A 60% / xG 0.6-1.6 / U2.5 48% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–1 17.2%

#2 0–2 14.2%

#3 1–1✓ 10.5%

#4 0–0 10.5%

#5 1–2 8.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Real Tomayapo0.6

Always Ready1.6

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 47.8% · O3.5 PROB 27.7%

Form & verdict PPG

REAL TOMAYAPO · PPG 1.29

ALWAYS READY · PPG 2.14

⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team

65%

DANGER

xG gap -1.04 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

Real Tomayapo (H) 14.2%

ODDS 5.40 · IMPLIED 18.5% EV -14.0%

Draw 25.4%

ODDS 4.60 · IMPLIED 21.7% EV +10.1%

Always Ready (A) 60.4%

ODDS 1.44 · IMPLIED 69.4% EV -13.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Real Tomayapo face Always Ready in Bolivia - Primera División on Sunday, August 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Real Tomayapo a 14% chance, the draw 25% and Always Ready 60%, so Always Ready are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.6 for Real Tomayapo and 1.6 for Always Ready (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-1. There is a 48% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Real Tomayapo are averaging 1.29 points per game versus 2.14 for Always Ready. This match finished 1-1.

Real Tomayapo vs Always Ready Prediction— Bolivia - Primera División

Match Preview & Prediction

More Bolivia - Primera División Predictions