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Südburgenland W vs Kleinmünchen / BW Linz W Prediction— Austria - Frauenliga

Matchday 4 ·Sunday, August 23, 2026, 12:00

Südburgenland W logo
Südburgenland W
PPG 0.71 · HOME
LAST 5
LDDLL
0 – 1
FULL TIME
✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5
Kleinmünchen / BW Linz W logo
Kleinmünchen / BW Linz W
PPG 0.78 · AWAY
LAST 5
LLLWD

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.7 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.4%0-14.4%0-24.1%0-32.5%0-4+1.8%1 1-04.5%1-18.3%1-27.7%1-34.7%1-4+3.3%2 2-04.3%2-17.9%2-27.3%2-34.5%2-4+3.1%3 3-02.7%3-14.9%3-24.6%3-32.8%3-4+2.0%4+ 4+-01.9%4+-13.6%4+-23.3%4+-32.0%4+-4+1.4%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 43.7%
Draw 21.9%
Away win 34.4%
Over 2.5 65.6%
Over 3.5 43.5%
BTTS 63.2%
Home O1.5 54.9%
Away O1.5 55.2%

League track record

Based on 29 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 59%
O2.5 59%
BTTS 52%
Score Hit 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 7.9%
#2 1–1 8.3%
#3 1–2 7.7%
#4 2–2 7.3%
#5 3–1 4.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Südburgenland W1.9
Kleinmünchen / BW Linz W1.8

COMBINED 3.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 65.6% · O3.5 PROB 43.5%

Form & verdict PPG

SÜDBURGENLAND W · PPG 0.71

KLEINMÜNCHEN / BW LINZ W · PPG 0.78

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42%
BALANCED

xG gap +0.04 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Südburgenland W (H) 43.7%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 21.9%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Kleinmünchen / BW Linz W (A) 34.4%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Südburgenland W face Kleinmünchen / BW Linz W in Austria - Frauenliga on Sunday, August 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Südburgenland W a 44% chance, the draw 22% and Kleinmünchen / BW Linz W 34%, so Südburgenland W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Südburgenland W and 1.8 for Kleinmünchen / BW Linz W (3.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 66% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Südburgenland W are averaging 0.71 points per game versus 0.78 for Kleinmünchen / BW Linz W. This match finished 0-1.

PredictVantage

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