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Zbrojovka Brno vs Vikto Zizkov Prediction— Czech-Republic - FNL

Wednesday, April 15, 2026

Zbrojovka Brno

PPG 2.55 · HOME

1 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

Vikto Zizkov

PPG 1.50 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Model probability 80.5% vs bookmaker-implied 73.5% — a real, if thin, edge.

+9.5% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.1%0-11.8%0-20.8%0-30.2%0-4+0.1%1 1-06.4%1-15.4%1-22.3%1-30.6%1-4+0.2%2 2-09.6%2-18.1%2-23.4%2-31.0%2-4+0.2%3 3-09.6%3-18.1%3-23.4%3-31.0%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-015.2%4+-112.9%4+-25.5%4+-31.5%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 80.5% 73.5% 1.36 +9.5%

Draw 12.1% 23.1% 4.33 -47.6%

Away win 7.4% 13.3% 7.50 -44.5%

Over 2.5 74.0% 61.7% 1.62 +19.9%

Over 3.5 53.8% 40.0% 2.50 +34.5%

BTTS 54.3% 55.6% 1.80 -2.3%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 56 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 57%

BTTS 55%

Score Hit 50%

ROI 10.4%

Bet Hit 68%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 77%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-0

xG (home)3.0 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob54.3%

H 80% / xG 3.0-0.8 / O2.5 74% / BTTS 54%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–0 9.6%

#2 2–0 9.6%

#3 3–1 8.1%

#4 2–1 8.1%

#5 4–0 7.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Zbrojovka Brno3.0

Vikto Zizkov0.8

COMBINED 3.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 74.0% · O3.5 PROB 53.8%

Form & verdict PPG

ZBROJOVKA BRNO · PPG 2.55

VIKTO ZIZKOV · PPG 1.50

✓ SOLID - Strong home form

95%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.55), Away GOOD (1.50) - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Zbrojovka Brno (H) 80.5%

ODDS 1.36 · IMPLIED 73.5% EV +9.5%

Draw 12.1%

ODDS 4.33 · IMPLIED 23.1% EV -47.6%

Vikto Zizkov (A) 7.4%

ODDS 7.50 · IMPLIED 13.3% EV -44.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Zbrojovka Brno face Vikto Zizkov in Czech-Republic - FNL on Wednesday, April 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Zbrojovka Brno a 81% chance, the draw 12% and Vikto Zizkov 7%, so Zbrojovka Brno are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.0 for Zbrojovka Brno and 0.8 for Vikto Zizkov (3.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-0. There is a 74% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 54% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Zbrojovka Brno are averaging 2.55 points per game versus 1.50 for Vikto Zizkov. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +34.5%. This match finished 1-0.

Zbrojovka Brno vs Vikto Zizkov Prediction— Czech-Republic - FNL

Match Preview & Prediction

More Czech-Republic - FNL Predictions