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Czech-Republic - FNL Wednesday, April 15, 2026
Usti nad Labem PPG 1.80
1-0 MISS
Chrudim PPG 0.90
Over3.5· +52.7% 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
98% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 77.2%
Odds: 1.77 EV: +36.6%
Draw 12.5%
Odds: 3.70 EV: -53.8%
Away 10.4%
Odds: 3.75 EV: -61.0%
Model lean: Over 2.5
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 83.1% Odds: 1.53 +27.1%
Over 3.5 66.4% Odds: 2.30 +52.7%
BTTS 68.2% Odds: 1.48 +0.9%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 3-1
2nd 2-1
3rd 4-1
4th 3-0
5th 2-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Usti nad Labem
3.31
Chrudim
1.23

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 +27.1% ROI TRACKS: Over 2.5
Tracked ROI market: Over 2.5.
Raw EV leader: Over3.5(+52.7%)

Verdict & Form

🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
98%
STRONG_HOME

Home team in GOOD form (1.80), Away POOR (0.90) - Strong consensus

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