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Oriente Petrolero vs San Antonio Bulo Bulo Prediction— Bolivia - Primera División

Apertura · Matchday 16 ·Saturday, August 22, 2026, 00:30

Oriente Petrolero

PPG 2.29 · HOME

LAST 5

LWWWD

4 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME O1.5

San Antonio Bulo Bulo

PPG 0.14 · AWAY

LAST 5

DWLLL

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

Model probability 66.7% vs bookmaker-implied 72.5%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.9%0-12.1%0-20.8%0-30.2%0-4+0.0%1 1-08.2%1-16.0%1-22.2%1-30.5%1-4+0.1%2 2-011.5%2-18.4%2-23.1%2-30.7%2-4+0.2%3 3-010.7%3-17.8%3-22.9%3-30.7%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-014.9%4+-110.9%4+-24.0%4+-31.0%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 70.5% 67.6% 1.48 +4.3%

Draw 16.8% 22.2% 4.50 -14.6%

Away win 12.8% 19.6% 5.10 -20.8%

Over 2.5 65.0% 70.4% 1.42 -7.7%

Over 3.5 43.5% 48.8% 2.05 -10.8%

BTTS 53.0% 66.7% 1.50 -20.5%

Home O1.5 66.7% 72.5% 1.38 -8.0%

Away O1.5 17.9% 35.1% 2.85 -29.4%

League track record ↗

Based on 58 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 59%

BTTS 50%

Score Hit 45%

ROI -21.5%

Bet Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 62%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 4-0

xG (home)2.8 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob53.0%

H 70% / xG 2.8-0.7 / O2.5 65% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 11.5%

#2 3–0 10.7%

#3 1–1 6.0%

#4 2–1 8.4%

#5 3–1 7.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Oriente Petrolero2.8

San Antonio Bulo Bulo0.7

COMBINED 3.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 65.0% · O3.5 PROB 43.5%

Form & verdict PPG

ORIENTE PETROLERO · PPG 2.29

SAN ANTONIO BULO BULO · PPG 0.14

✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

95%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +2.08 for Home, form 2.29 vs 0.14 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Oriente Petrolero (H) 70.5%

ODDS 1.48 · IMPLIED 67.6% EV +4.3%

Draw 16.8%

ODDS 4.50 · IMPLIED 22.2% EV -14.6%

San Antonio Bulo Bulo (A) 12.8%

ODDS 5.10 · IMPLIED 19.6% EV -20.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Oriente Petrolero face San Antonio Bulo Bulo in Bolivia - Primera División on Saturday, August 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Oriente Petrolero a 71% chance, the draw 17% and San Antonio Bulo Bulo 13%, so Oriente Petrolero are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.8 for Oriente Petrolero and 0.7 for San Antonio Bulo Bulo (3.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Oriente Petrolero are averaging 2.29 points per game versus 0.14 for San Antonio Bulo Bulo. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +1.2%. This match finished 4-0.

Oriente Petrolero vs San Antonio Bulo Bulo Prediction— Bolivia - Primera División

Match Preview & Prediction

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