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Taborsko vs C. Budejovice Prediction— Czech-Republic - FNL

Wednesday, April 15, 2026

Taborsko

PPG 1.64 · HOME

1 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

C. Budejovice

PPG 1.30 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Model probability 68.5% vs bookmaker-implied 61.7% — a clear edge.

+11.0% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.3%0-14.2%0-21.7%0-30.4%0-4+0.1%1 1-011.4%1-19.0%1-23.6%1-30.9%1-4+0.2%2 2-012.2%2-19.7%2-23.8%2-31.0%2-4+0.2%3 3-08.7%3-16.9%3-22.7%3-30.7%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-07.7%4+-16.1%4+-22.4%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 68.5% 61.7% 1.62 +11.0%

Draw 18.9% 28.6% 3.50 -33.9%

Away win 12.5% 19.6% 5.10 -36.3%

Over 2.5 56.3% 54.1% 1.85 +4.2%

Over 3.5 33.9% 32.3% 3.10 +5.1%

BTTS 48.3% 55.6% 1.80 -13.1%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 56 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 57%

BTTS 55%

Score Hit 50%

ROI 10.4%

Bet Hit 68%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 0 53%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-0

xG (home)2.1 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob48.3%

H 68% / xG 2.1-0.8 / O2.5 56% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 12.2%

#2 1–0✓ 11.4%

#3 2–1 9.7%

#4 1–1 9.0%

#5 3–0 8.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Taborsko2.1

C. Budejovice0.8

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 56.3% · O3.5 PROB 33.9%

Form & verdict PPG

TABORSKO · PPG 1.64

C. BUDEJOVICE · PPG 1.30

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.64) > Away AVERAGE (1.30)

Win probability 1X2

Taborsko (H) 68.5%

ODDS 1.62 · IMPLIED 61.7% EV +11.0%

Draw 18.9%

ODDS 3.50 · IMPLIED 28.6% EV -33.9%

C. Budejovice (A) 12.5%

ODDS 5.10 · IMPLIED 19.6% EV -36.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

Taborsko face C. Budejovice in Czech-Republic - FNL on Wednesday, April 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Taborsko a 69% chance, the draw 19% and C. Budejovice 13%, so Taborsko are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.1 for Taborsko and 0.8 for C. Budejovice (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 56% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Taborsko are averaging 1.64 points per game versus 1.30 for C. Budejovice. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +11.0%. This match finished 1-0.

Taborsko vs C. Budejovice Prediction— Czech-Republic - FNL

Match Preview & Prediction

More Czech-Republic - FNL Predictions