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Austria Wien W vs Salzburg W Prediction— Austria - Frauenliga

Matchday 4 ·Friday, August 21, 2026, 17:30

Austria Wien W logo
Austria Wien W
PPG 2.04 · HOME
LAST 5
LWWD ·
7 – 0
FULL TIME
✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME
Salzburg W logo
Salzburg W
PPG 1.25 · AWAY
LAST 5
WWLLL

// Model verdict

Home

xG gap +0.86 - moderate Home edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.9%0-16.3%0-22.9%0-30.9%0-4+0.2%1 1-012.1%1-111.1%1-25.0%1-31.5%1-4+0.4%2 2-010.7%2-19.8%2-24.5%2-31.4%2-4+0.4%3 3-06.3%3-15.8%3-22.6%3-30.8%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-04.2%4+-13.8%4+-21.7%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.1%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 52.3%
Draw 24.3%
Away win 23.4%
Over 2.5 50.2%
Over 3.5 30.5%
BTTS 52.9%
Home O1.5 48.8%
Away O1.5 23.3%

League track record

Based on 29 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 59%
O2.5 59%
BTTS 52%
Score Hit 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.1%
#2 2–0 10.7%
#3 1–0 12.1%
#4 2–1 9.8%
#5 0–0 6.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Austria Wien W1.8
Salzburg W0.9

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.2% · O3.5 PROB 30.5%

Form & verdict PPG

AUSTRIA WIEN W · PPG 2.04

SALZBURG W · PPG 1.25

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52%
MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.86 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Austria Wien W (H) 52.3%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 24.3%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Salzburg W (A) 23.4%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Austria Wien W face Salzburg W in Austria - Frauenliga on Friday, August 21, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Austria Wien W a 52% chance, the draw 24% and Salzburg W 23%, so Austria Wien W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Austria Wien W and 0.9 for Salzburg W (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Austria Wien W are averaging 2.04 points per game versus 1.25 for Salzburg W. This match finished 7-0.

PredictVantage

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