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Sparta Prague B vs Artis Brno Prediction— Czech-Republic - FNL

Wednesday, April 15, 2026

Sparta Prague B

PPG 0.82 · HOME

1 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · AWAY

Artis Brno

PPG 1.70 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

Model probability 61.8% vs bookmaker-implied 54.6% — a clear edge.

+13.1% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.2%0-114.5%0-212.7%0-37.5%0-4+4.9%1 1-06.1%1-110.7%1-29.4%1-35.5%1-4+3.6%2 2-02.2%2-13.9%2-23.5%2-32.0%2-4+1.3%3 3-00.6%3-11.0%3-20.9%3-30.5%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-00.1%4+-10.2%4+-20.2%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 15.2% 26.0% 3.85 -41.5%

Draw 22.9% 29.4% 3.40 -22.1%

Away win 61.8% 54.6% 1.83 +13.1%

Over 2.5 45.6% 54.1% 1.85 -15.6%

Over 3.5 24.2% 31.3% 3.20 -22.6%

BTTS 43.2% 57.8% 1.73 -25.3%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 56 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 57%

BTTS 55%

Score Hit 50%

ROI 10.4%

Bet Hit 68%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 3 39%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-3

xG (home)0.7 xG (away)1.8 BTTS prob43.2%

A 62% / xG 0.7-1.8 / O2.5 46% / NoBTTS 43%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–1 14.5%

#2 0–2 12.7%

#3 1–1 10.7%

#4 1–2 9.4%

#5 0–0 8.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Sparta Prague B0.7

Artis Brno1.8

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 45.6% · O3.5 PROB 24.2%

Form & verdict PPG

SPARTA PRAGUE B · PPG 0.82

ARTIS BRNO · PPG 1.70

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity

66%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.70) vs Home POOR (0.82)

Win probability 1X2

Sparta Prague B (H) 15.2%

ODDS 3.85 · IMPLIED 26.0% EV -41.5%

Draw 22.9%

ODDS 3.40 · IMPLIED 29.4% EV -22.1%

Artis Brno (A) 61.8%

ODDS 1.83 · IMPLIED 54.6% EV +13.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

Sparta Prague B face Artis Brno in Czech-Republic - FNL on Wednesday, April 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Sparta Prague B a 15% chance, the draw 23% and Artis Brno 62%, so Artis Brno are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.7 for Sparta Prague B and 1.8 for Artis Brno (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-1. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 43% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Sparta Prague B are averaging 0.82 points per game versus 1.70 for Artis Brno. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +13.1%. This match finished 1-3.

Sparta Prague B vs Artis Brno Prediction— Czech-Republic - FNL

Match Preview & Prediction

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