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Slavia Prague B vs Jihlava Prediction— Czech-Republic - FNL

Wednesday, April 15, 2026

Slavia Prague B

PPG 1.30 · HOME

1 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

Jihlava

PPG 0.82 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Model probability 61.3% vs bookmaker-implied 54.1% — a clear edge.

+13.4% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.7%0-14.7%0-22.4%0-30.8%0-4+0.3%1 1-09.6%1-19.7%1-24.9%1-31.7%1-4+0.5%2 2-09.8%2-110.0%2-25.0%2-31.7%2-4+0.5%3 3-06.7%3-16.8%3-23.4%3-31.2%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-05.5%4+-15.6%4+-22.8%4+-31.0%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 61.3% 54.1% 1.85 +13.4%

Draw 20.8% 28.6% 3.50 -27.2%

Away win 17.9% 27.4% 3.65 -34.7%

Over 2.5 59.0% 58.8% 1.70 +0.3%

Over 3.5 36.6% 36.4% 2.75 +0.7%

BTTS 55.4% 62.5% 1.60 -11.4%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 56 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 57%

BTTS 55%

Score Hit 50%

ROI 10.4%

Bet Hit 68%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 55%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-0

xG (home)2.0 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob55.4%

H 61% / xG 2.0-1.0 / O2.5 59% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 10.0%

#2 2–0 9.8%

#3 1–1 9.7%

#4 1–0✓ 9.6%

#5 3–1 6.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Slavia Prague B2.0

Jihlava1.0

COMBINED 3.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.0% · O3.5 PROB 36.6%

Form & verdict PPG

SLAVIA PRAGUE B · PPG 1.30

JIHLAVA · PPG 0.82

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.30) > Away POOR (0.82)

Win probability 1X2

Slavia Prague B (H) 61.3%

ODDS 1.85 · IMPLIED 54.1% EV +13.4%

Draw 20.8%

ODDS 3.50 · IMPLIED 28.6% EV -27.2%

Jihlava (A) 17.9%

ODDS 3.65 · IMPLIED 27.4% EV -34.7%

Match Preview & Prediction

Slavia Prague B face Jihlava in Czech-Republic - FNL on Wednesday, April 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Slavia Prague B a 61% chance, the draw 21% and Jihlava 18%, so Slavia Prague B are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for Slavia Prague B and 1.0 for Jihlava (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Slavia Prague B are averaging 1.30 points per game versus 0.82 for Jihlava. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +13.4%. This match finished 1-0.

Slavia Prague B vs Jihlava Prediction— Czech-Republic - FNL

Match Preview & Prediction

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