Today / Czech-Republic - FNL / Han. Kromeriz vs Prostejov

Han. Kromeriz vs Prostejov Prediction— Czech-Republic - FNL

Wednesday, April 15, 2026

Han. Kromeriz
PPG 0.91 · HOME
0 – 0
FULL TIME
Prostejov
PPG 0.82 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.2%0-110.5%0-26.0%0-32.3%0-4+0.8%1 1-011.4%1-113.1%1-27.5%1-32.8%1-4+1.0%2 2-07.1%2-18.1%2-24.6%2-31.8%2-4+0.6%3 3-03.0%3-13.4%3-21.9%3-30.7%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-01.2%4+-11.4%4+-20.8%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 38.6% 52.6% 1.90 -26.7%
Draw 27.7% 29.9% 3.35 -7.2%
Away win 33.7% 27.4% 3.65 +23.0%
Over 2.5 42.7% 54.1% 1.85 -21.0%
Over 3.5 21.9% 32.3% 3.10 -32.1%
BTTS 48.5% 58.8% 1.70 -17.5%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

League track record

Based on 56 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%
O2.5 57%
BTTS 55%
Score Hit 50%
ROI 10.4%
Bet Hit 68%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 26%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 0-0
xG (home)1.2 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob48.5%

H 39% / xG 1.2-1.1 / U2.5 43% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.1%
#2 1–0 11.4%
#3 0–1 10.5%
#4 0–0 9.2%
#5 2–1 8.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Han. Kromeriz1.2
Prostejov1.1

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 42.7% · O3.5 PROB 21.9%

Form & verdict PPG

HAN. KROMERIZ · PPG 0.91

PROSTEJOV · PPG 0.82

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value
60%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.91), Away POOR (0.82)

Win probability 1X2

Han. Kromeriz (H) 38.6%
ODDS 1.90 · IMPLIED 52.6% EV -26.7%
Draw 27.7%
ODDS 3.35 · IMPLIED 29.9% EV -7.2%
Prostejov (A) 33.7%
ODDS 3.65 · IMPLIED 27.4% EV +23.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Han. Kromeriz face Prostejov in Czech-Republic - FNL on Wednesday, April 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Han. Kromeriz a 39% chance, the draw 28% and Prostejov 34%, so Han. Kromeriz are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Han. Kromeriz and 1.1 for Prostejov (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 43% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Han. Kromeriz are averaging 0.91 points per game versus 0.82 for Prostejov. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +23.0%. This match finished 0-0.

PredictVantage

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