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Sunnersta vs Täby Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Svealand

Norra Svealand · Matchday 17 ·Sunday, August 16, 2026, 17:00

Sunnersta

PPG 2.57 · HOME

UPCOMING

Täby

PPG 1.43 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

Model probability 62.4% vs bookmaker-implied 62.9%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.7%0-14.2%0-21.9%0-30.6%0-4+0.2%1 1-010.1%1-19.1%1-24.0%1-31.2%1-4+0.3%2 2-011.0%2-19.8%2-24.4%2-31.3%2-4+0.4%3 3-08.0%3-17.1%3-23.2%3-30.9%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-07.2%4+-16.4%4+-22.9%4+-30.9%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 55.9% 56.5% 1.77 -1.1%

Draw 22.1% 27.4% 3.65 -11.6%

Away win 22.0% 29.9% 3.35 -15.8%

Over 2.5 60.7% 71.4% 1.40 -15.0%

Over 3.5 37.8% 49.5% 2.02 -23.6%

BTTS 54.5% 73.5% 1.36 -25.9%

Home O1.5 62.4% 62.9% 1.59 -0.8%

Away O1.5 23.6% 44.2% 2.26 -28.0%

League track record ↗

Based on 42 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 60%

O2.5 57%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 50%

ROI 2.1%

Bet Hit 63%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 52%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.2 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob54.5%

H 56% / xG 2.2-0.9 / O2.5 61% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 11.0%

#2 1–1 9.1%

#3 2–1 9.8%

#4 1–0 10.1%

#5 3–0 8.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Sunnersta2.2

Täby0.9

COMBINED 3.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 60.7% · O3.5 PROB 37.8%

Form & verdict PPG

SUNNERSTA · PPG 2.57

TÄBY · PPG 1.43

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.28 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Sunnersta (H) 55.9%

ODDS 1.77 · IMPLIED 56.5% EV -1.1%

Draw 22.1%

ODDS 3.65 · IMPLIED 27.4% EV -11.6%

Täby (A) 22.0%

ODDS 3.35 · IMPLIED 29.9% EV -15.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Sunnersta face Täby in Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Svealand on Sunday, August 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Sunnersta a 56% chance, the draw 22% and Täby 22%, so Sunnersta are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.2 for Sunnersta and 0.9 for Täby (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Sunnersta are averaging 2.57 points per game versus 1.43 for Täby.

Sunnersta vs Täby Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Svealand

Match Preview & Prediction

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