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Uničov vs Zbrojovka Brno II Prediction— Czech-Republic - 3. liga - MSFL

MSFL · Matchday 3 ·Sunday, August 16, 2026, 08:15

Uničov logo
Uničov
PPG 1.96 · HOME
VS
UPCOMING
Zbrojovka Brno II logo
Zbrojovka Brno II
PPG 1.20 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.1 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.7%0-12.4%0-21.7%0-30.8%0-4+0.4%1 1-04.6%1-16.4%1-24.5%1-32.1%1-4+1.0%2 2-06.0%2-18.5%2-26.0%2-32.8%2-4+1.4%3 3-05.3%3-17.5%3-25.3%3-32.5%3-4+1.2%4+ 4+-06.7%4+-19.5%4+-26.7%4+-33.1%4+-4+1.5%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 56.6%
Draw 21.0%
Away win 22.4%
Over 2.5 67.3%
Over 3.5 45.1%
BTTS 63.2%
Home O1.5 63.4%
Away O1.5 42.6%

League track record

Based on 12 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 67%
O2.5 83%
BTTS 75%
Score Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 70%CONFIDENCE
xG (home)2.7 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob63.2%

H 57% / xG 2.7-1.4 / O2.5 67% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 8.5%
#2 3–1 7.5%
#3 1–1 6.4%
#4 2–0 6.0%
#5 2–2 6.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Uničov2.7
Zbrojovka Brno II1.4

COMBINED 4.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.3% · O3.5 PROB 45.1%

Form & verdict PPG

UNIČOV · PPG 1.96

ZBROJOVKA BRNO II · PPG 1.20

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52%
MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.24 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Uničov (H) 56.6%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 21.0%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Zbrojovka Brno II (A) 22.4%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Uničov face Zbrojovka Brno II in Czech-Republic - 3. liga - MSFL on Sunday, August 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Uničov a 57% chance, the draw 21% and Zbrojovka Brno II 22%, so Uničov are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.7 for Uničov and 1.4 for Zbrojovka Brno II (4.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Uničov are averaging 1.96 points per game versus 1.20 for Zbrojovka Brno II.

PredictVantage

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