Today / Czech-Republic - 3. liga - MSFL / Vsetín vs Unie Hlubina

Vsetín vs Unie Hlubina Prediction— Czech-Republic - 3. liga - MSFL

MSFL · Matchday 2 ·Saturday, August 8, 2026, 12:00

Vsetín logo
Vsetín
PPG 1.17 · HOME
2 – 4
FULL TIME
✓ MODEL PICK HIT · AWAY O1.5
Unie Hlubina logo
Unie Hlubina
PPG 1.64 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away Over 1.5

xG gap -1.91 for Away, form 1.17 vs 1.64

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.2%0-13.7%0-25.9%0-36.2%0-4+11.0%1 1-01.5%1-14.7%1-27.5%1-37.9%1-4+14.0%2 2-00.9%2-13.0%2-24.8%2-35.1%2-4+8.9%3 3-00.4%3-11.3%3-22.0%3-32.2%3-4+3.8%4+ 4+-00.2%4+-10.5%4+-20.9%4+-30.9%4+-4+1.6%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 13.8%
Draw 16.7%
Away win 69.5%
Over 2.5 73.0%
Over 3.5 52.7%
BTTS 64.3%
Home O1.5 36.9%
Away O1.5 76.3%

League track record

Based on 12 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 67%
O2.5 83%
BTTS 75%
Score Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 4 74%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 2-4
xG (home)1.3 xG (away)3.2 BTTS prob64.3%

A 70% / xG 1.3-3.2 / O2.5 73% / BTTS 64%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–3 7.9%
#2 1–2 7.5%
#3 1–4 6.3%
#4 0–3 6.2%
#5 0–2 5.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Vsetín1.3
Unie Hlubina3.2

COMBINED 4.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 73.0% · O3.5 PROB 52.7%

Form & verdict PPG

VSETÍN · PPG 1.17

UNIE HLUBINA · PPG 1.64

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value
63%
UPSET_VALUE

xG gap -1.91 for Away, form 1.17 vs 1.64

Win probability 1X2

Vsetín (H) 13.8%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 16.7%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Unie Hlubina (A) 69.5%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Vsetín face Unie Hlubina in Czech-Republic - 3. liga - MSFL on Saturday, August 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Vsetín a 14% chance, the draw 17% and Unie Hlubina 70%, so Unie Hlubina are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Vsetín and 3.2 for Unie Hlubina (4.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-3. There is a 73% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Vsetín are averaging 1.17 points per game versus 1.64 for Unie Hlubina. This match finished 2-4.

PredictVantage

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