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Slovácko II vs Blansko Prediction— Czech-Republic - 3. liga - MSFL

MSFL · Matchday 3 ·Sunday, August 16, 2026, 08:15

Slovácko II logo
Slovácko II
PPG 1.33 · HOME
VS
UPCOMING
Blansko logo
Blansko
PPG 1.11 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.6 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.7%0-14.1%0-23.1%0-31.5%0-4+0.8%1 1-05.7%1-18.6%1-26.4%1-33.2%1-4+1.7%2 2-06.0%2-19.0%2-26.8%2-33.4%2-4+1.8%3 3-04.2%3-16.3%3-24.8%3-32.4%3-4+1.3%4+ 4+-03.6%4+-15.4%4+-24.1%4+-32.1%4+-4+1.1%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 47.9%
Draw 23.8%
Away win 28.3%
Over 2.5 63.1%
Over 3.5 40.1%
BTTS 61.6%
Home O1.5 59.8%
Away O1.5 47.3%

League track record

Based on 12 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 67%
O2.5 83%
BTTS 75%
Score Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 54%CONFIDENCE
xG (home)2.1 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob61.6%

H 48% / xG 2.1-1.5 / O2.5 63% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 8.6%
#2 2–1 9.0%
#3 2–2 6.8%
#4 1–2 6.4%
#5 3–1 6.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Slovácko II2.1
Blansko1.5

COMBINED 3.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.1% · O3.5 PROB 40.1%

Form & verdict PPG

SLOVÁCKO II · PPG 1.33

BLANSKO · PPG 1.11

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52%
MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.60 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Slovácko II (H) 47.9%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 23.8%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Blansko (A) 28.3%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Slovácko II face Blansko in Czech-Republic - 3. liga - MSFL on Sunday, August 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Slovácko II a 48% chance, the draw 24% and Blansko 28%, so Slovácko II are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.1 for Slovácko II and 1.5 for Blansko (3.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Slovácko II are averaging 1.33 points per game versus 1.11 for Blansko.

PredictVantage

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