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Vrchovina vs Zlín II Prediction— Czech-Republic - 3. liga - MSFL

MSFL · Matchday 3 ·Saturday, August 15, 2026, 14:30

Vrchovina

PPG 1.59 · HOME

UPCOMING

Zlín II

PPG 1.29 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap +0.19 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.8%0-16.8%0-24.9%0-32.3%0-4+1.1%1 1-07.8%1-111.0%1-27.8%1-33.7%1-4+1.8%2 2-06.3%2-18.9%2-26.3%2-33.0%2-4+1.5%3 3-03.4%3-14.8%3-23.4%3-31.6%3-4+0.8%4+ 4+-01.9%4+-12.8%4+-22.0%4+-30.9%4+-4+0.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 44.2% — — —

Draw 26.7% — — —

Away win 29.1% — — —

Over 2.5 53.7% — — —

Over 3.5 32.0% — — —

BTTS 54.5% — — —

Home O1.5 47.2% — — —

Away O1.5 42.6% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 12 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 67%

O2.5 83%

BTTS 75%

Score Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 36%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob54.5%

H 44% / xG 1.6-1.4 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.0%

#2 2–1 8.9%

#3 1–2 7.8%

#4 0–0 4.8%

#5 2–2 6.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Vrchovina1.6

Zlín II1.4

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.7% · O3.5 PROB 32.0%

Form & verdict PPG

VRCHOVINA · PPG 1.59

ZLÍN II · PPG 1.29

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.19 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Vrchovina (H) 44.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 26.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Zlín II (A) 29.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Vrchovina face Zlín II in Czech-Republic - 3. liga - MSFL on Saturday, August 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Vrchovina a 44% chance, the draw 27% and Zlín II 29%, so Vrchovina are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Vrchovina and 1.4 for Zlín II (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Vrchovina are averaging 1.59 points per game versus 1.29 for Zlín II.

Vrchovina vs Zlín II Prediction— Czech-Republic - 3. liga - MSFL

Match Preview & Prediction

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