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Unie Hlubina vs Sigma Olomouc II Prediction— Czech-Republic - 3. liga - MSFL

MSFL · Matchday 3 ·Saturday, August 15, 2026, 14:30

Unie Hlubina

PPG 1.54 · HOME

UPCOMING

Sigma Olomouc II

PPG 1.99 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.0 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.8%0-13.8%0-24.0%0-32.9%0-4+2.5%1 1-03.3%1-17.2%1-27.7%1-35.5%1-4+4.8%2 2-03.2%2-16.8%2-27.3%2-35.2%2-4+4.6%3 3-02.0%3-14.3%3-24.6%3-33.3%3-4+2.9%4+ 4+-01.5%4+-13.1%4+-23.4%4+-32.4%4+-4+2.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 43.1% — — —

Draw 21.5% — — —

Away win 35.4% — — —

Over 2.5 67.4% — — —

Over 3.5 47.2% — — —

BTTS 66.0% — — —

Home O1.5 54.6% — — —

Away O1.5 56.5% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 12 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 67%

O2.5 83%

BTTS 75%

Score Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 60%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.9 xG (away)2.1 BTTS prob66.0%

A 35% / xG 1.9-2.1 / O2.5 67% / BTTS 66%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 7.2%

#2 1–2 7.7%

#3 2–2 7.3%

#4 2–1 6.8%

#5 1–3 5.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Unie Hlubina1.9

Sigma Olomouc II2.1

COMBINED 4.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.4% · O3.5 PROB 47.2%

Form & verdict PPG

UNIE HLUBINA · PPG 1.54

SIGMA OLOMOUC II · PPG 1.99

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap -0.25 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Unie Hlubina (H) 43.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Sigma Olomouc II (A) 35.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Unie Hlubina face Sigma Olomouc II in Czech-Republic - 3. liga - MSFL on Saturday, August 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Unie Hlubina a 43% chance, the draw 22% and Sigma Olomouc II 35%, so Unie Hlubina are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Unie Hlubina and 2.1 for Sigma Olomouc II (4.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 66% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Unie Hlubina are averaging 1.54 points per game versus 1.99 for Sigma Olomouc II.

Unie Hlubina vs Sigma Olomouc II Prediction— Czech-Republic - 3. liga - MSFL

Match Preview & Prediction

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