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Zbrojovka Brno II vs Frýdek-Místek Prediction— Czech-Republic - 3. liga - MSFL

MSFL · Matchday 2 ·Sunday, August 9, 2026, 08:15

Zbrojovka Brno II

PPG 2.05 · HOME

2 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Frýdek-Místek

PPG 1.48 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap -0.49 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.6%0-15.3%0-25.5%0-33.8%0-4+3.2%1 1-04.1%1-18.5%1-28.8%1-36.1%1-4+5.1%2 2-03.2%2-16.7%2-27.0%2-34.8%2-4+4.0%3 3-01.7%3-13.5%3-23.7%3-32.5%3-4+2.1%4+ 4+-01.0%4+-12.0%4+-22.1%4+-31.4%4+-4+1.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 31.6% — — —

Draw 22.8% — — —

Away win 45.6% — — —

Over 2.5 67.2% — — —

Over 3.5 44.0% — — —

BTTS 64.3% — — —

Home O1.5 47.5% — — —

Away O1.5 54.7% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 12 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 67%

O2.5 83%

BTTS 75%

Score Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 57%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-2

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)2.1 BTTS prob64.3%

A 46% / xG 1.6-2.1 / O2.5 67% / BTTS 64%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 8.5%

#2 1–2 8.8%

#3 2–2✓ 7.0%

#4 2–1 6.7%

#5 1–3 6.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Zbrojovka Brno II1.6

Frýdek-Místek2.1

COMBINED 3.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.2% · O3.5 PROB 44.0%

Form & verdict PPG

ZBROJOVKA BRNO II · PPG 2.05

FRÝDEK-MÍSTEK · PPG 1.48

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap -0.49 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Zbrojovka Brno II (H) 31.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Frýdek-Místek (A) 45.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Zbrojovka Brno II face Frýdek-Místek in Czech-Republic - 3. liga - MSFL on Sunday, August 9, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Zbrojovka Brno II a 32% chance, the draw 23% and Frýdek-Místek 46%, so Frýdek-Místek are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Zbrojovka Brno II and 2.1 for Frýdek-Místek (3.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Zbrojovka Brno II are averaging 2.05 points per game versus 1.48 for Frýdek-Místek. This match finished 2-2.

Zbrojovka Brno II vs Frýdek-Místek Prediction— Czech-Republic - 3. liga - MSFL

Match Preview & Prediction

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