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Polanka nad Odrou vs Vítkovice Prediction— Czech-Republic - 3. liga - MSFL

MSFL · Matchday 3 ·Sunday, August 16, 2026, 14:30

Polanka nad Odrou

PPG 0.79 · HOME

UPCOMING

Vítkovice

PPG 1.01 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap +0.02 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.1%0-19.4%0-26.1%0-32.7%0-4+1.2%1 1-09.5%1-112.4%1-28.2%1-33.6%1-4+1.6%2 2-06.3%2-18.3%2-25.4%2-32.4%2-4+1.0%3 3-02.8%3-13.7%3-22.4%3-31.0%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-01.2%4+-11.6%4+-21.1%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 44.2% — — —

Draw 26.7% — — —

Away win 29.1% — — —

Over 2.5 49.9% — — —

Over 3.5 29.4% — — —

BTTS 53.1% — — —

Home O1.5 37.9% — — —

Away O1.5 40.7% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 12 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 67%

O2.5 83%

BTTS 75%

Score Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 25%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob53.1%

H 44% / xG 1.3-1.3 / O2.5 50% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.4%

#2 0–0 7.1%

#3 2–1 8.3%

#4 1–2 8.2%

#5 1–0 9.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Polanka nad Odrou1.3

Vítkovice1.3

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 49.9% · O3.5 PROB 29.4%

Form & verdict PPG

POLANKA NAD ODROU · PPG 0.79

VÍTKOVICE · PPG 1.01

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.02 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Polanka nad Odrou (H) 44.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 26.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Vítkovice (A) 29.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Polanka nad Odrou face Vítkovice in Czech-Republic - 3. liga - MSFL on Sunday, August 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Polanka nad Odrou a 44% chance, the draw 27% and Vítkovice 29%, so Polanka nad Odrou are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Polanka nad Odrou and 1.3 for Vítkovice (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Polanka nad Odrou are averaging 0.79 points per game versus 1.01 for Vítkovice.

Polanka nad Odrou vs Vítkovice Prediction— Czech-Republic - 3. liga - MSFL

Match Preview & Prediction

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