Today / Brazil - Serie C / Brusque vs Inter De Limeira

Brusque vs Inter De Limeira Prediction— Brazil - Serie C

Matchday 17 ·Saturday, August 15, 2026, 22:30

Brusque

PPG 2.62 · HOME

UPCOMING

Inter De Limeira

PPG 2.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Model probability 53.3% vs bookmaker-implied 42.9% — a clear edge.

+24.2% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.6%0-17.0%0-23.2%0-31.0%0-4+0.3%1 1-012.6%1-111.6%1-25.4%1-31.6%1-4+0.5%2 2-010.4%2-19.6%2-24.4%2-31.4%2-4+0.4%3 3-05.7%3-15.3%3-22.4%3-30.7%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-03.4%4+-13.2%4+-21.5%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 53.3% 42.9% 2.33 +24.2%

Draw 24.4% 35.1% 2.85 -18.3%

Away win 22.3% 31.3% 3.20 -17.2%

Over 2.5 51.8% 42.6% 2.35 +21.7%

Over 3.5 30.0% 23.1% 4.33 +29.9%

BTTS 53.1% 52.4% 1.91 +1.4%

Home O1.5 47.5% 39.2% 2.55 +21.1%

Away O1.5 25.0% 31.3% 3.20 -12.0%

League track record ↗

Based on 86 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 40%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 51%

Score Hit 56%

ROI -30.1%

Bet Hit 37%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 32%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.7 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob53.1%

H 53% / xG 1.7-0.9 / O2.5 52% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.6%

#2 1–0 12.6%

#3 2–0 10.4%

#4 2–1 9.6%

#5 0–0 7.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Brusque1.7

Inter De Limeira0.9

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 51.8% · O3.5 PROB 30.0%

Form & verdict PPG

BRUSQUE · PPG 2.62

INTER DE LIMEIRA · PPG 2.00

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.73 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Brusque (H) 53.3%

ODDS 2.33 · IMPLIED 42.9% EV +24.2%

Draw 24.4%

ODDS 2.85 · IMPLIED 35.1% EV -18.3%

Inter De Limeira (A) 22.3%

ODDS 3.20 · IMPLIED 31.3% EV -17.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

Brusque face Inter De Limeira in Brazil - Serie C on Saturday, August 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Brusque a 53% chance, the draw 24% and Inter De Limeira 22%, so Brusque are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Brusque and 0.9 for Inter De Limeira (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Brusque are averaging 2.62 points per game versus 2.00 for Inter De Limeira. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +50.6%.

Brusque vs Inter De Limeira Prediction— Brazil - Serie C

Match Preview & Prediction

More Brazil - Serie C Predictions